Dundalk vs Kerry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 Dundalk - Kerry
Result
3:3
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
194
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
90
Corner Kicks
52
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Teahan R. ,
  • 40', Connor M. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Horgan D. (Pen),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Cleary R. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Paraschiv A. , Ward K. ,
  • 46', Mulligan L. , Garbett N. ,
  • 46', Animasahun M. , O'Keeffe C. ,
  • 47', 2 - 2, Horgan D. ,
  • 47', 2 - 3, Teahan R. ,
  • 53', 3 - 3, Ward K. ,
  • 53', Perez R. , Brosnan C. ,
  • 54', Arubi G. 🟨,
  • 65', Crowe O. , Healy A. ,
  • 68', Arubi G. , Vaughan R. ,
  • 81', Cleary R. , Palmer L. ,

Chances of winning


Dundalk
66.9%
Draw
20.4%
Kerry
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 17.7% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5% 16.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Dundalk - Kerry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.31)
    4.9
    (5.21)
    7.87
    (8.06)
    -0.1%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Dundalk - Kerry?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dundalk: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dundalk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dundalk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kerry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dundalk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Dundalk is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dundalk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - Kerry were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Kerry - Dundalk 0:4
    23.05.2025 Dundalk - Kerry 2:0
    28.02.2025 Kerry - Dundalk 0:1
    Latest results of Dundalk
    22.08.2025 Treaty United - Dundalk 0:7
    08.08.2025 Dundalk - Athlone Town 6:1
    04.08.2025 Dundalk - Longford Town 4:1
    25.07.2025 Dundalk - Wexford 3:2
    Latest results of Kerry
    22.08.2025 Kerry - Longford Town 1:0
    15.08.2025 Kerry - Cobh Ramblers 2:0
    08.08.2025 Kerry - Finn Harps 0:1
    04.08.2025 Treaty United - Kerry 1:1
    01.08.2025 Kerry - Athlone Town 4:0
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk29198260:233765
    2Cobh Ramblers29185655:272859
    3Bray291721049:391053
    4UC Dublin29137935:29646
    5Treaty United29981241:39235
    6Finn Harps288101033:36-334
    7Wexford29871432:42-1031
    8Kerry28851533:46-1329
    9Longford29781429:51-2229
    10Athlone29381821:56-3517

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