Result
1:1
04/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Teahan R. 🟨,
- 24', Lynch L. ↓, Conroy C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Devitt L. 🟨,
- 58', Cleary R. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Ferry P. ⚽,
- 67', Okwute D. ↓, Amechi K. ↑,
- 67', Mujaguzi C. ↓, Mcgrath S. ↑,
- 72', O'Connell S. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
- 72', Williams K. ↓, Barrett F. ↑,
- 77', Murphy S. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
- 77', Byrne M. ↓, Hanson J. ↑,
- 77', Ferry P. ↓, Owens D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Lee E. ⚽,
- 86', O'Connor E. 🟨,
- 89', Boevi R. ↓, Nwankwo D. ↑,
- 90+1', Crowe O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Owens D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Healy S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mcgrath S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Treaty United
49.8% | Draw
25.8% | Kerry
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Treaty United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treaty United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kerry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Treaty United - Kerry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.84) |
3.57 ↓
(3.78) |
3.77 ↑
(3.52) |
8.8%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Treaty United - Kerry?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Treaty United will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Treaty United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Kerry were as follows:
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
04.04.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
3:0
06.09.2024
Treaty United
-
Kerry
0:1
03.06.2024
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:1
12.04.2024
Treaty United
-
Kerry
0:0
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundalk | 31 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 63:24 | 39 | 69 |
| 2 | Cobh Ramblers | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59:28 | 31 | 63 |
| 3 | Bray | 31 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 53:43 | 10 | 56 |
| 4 | UC Dublin | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Treaty United | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 42:42 | 0 | 38 |
| 6 | Finn Harps | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 7 | Wexford | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Kerry | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 30 |
| 9 | Longford | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Athlone | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 22:59 | -37 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
