Result
2:2
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Walsh M. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽,
- 27', McGrath S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Walsh M. ↓, Doherty F. ↑,
- 63', Palmer L. ↓, Koufie E. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Curtis C. ⚽,
- 67', Lee B. ↓, Lawlor R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Murphy C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Murphy M. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
- 74', Feeney B. ↓, Layne J. ↑,
- 74', Ohin R. ↓, Healy S. ↑,
- 84', Koufie E. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Curtis C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Hakkinen J. 🟨,
- 90', McGrath S. ↓, Cooney K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Treaty United
37.2% | Draw
29.3% | Kerry
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+3%)
Treaty United - Kerry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.33) |
3.13 ↓
(3.54) |
2.73 ↑
(2.66) |
9.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Treaty United - Kerry?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 2.
- Recent form of Treaty United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kerry has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Treaty United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Kerry were as follows:
13.01.2026
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:4
26.09.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:1
04.08.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
1:1
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
04.04.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
3:0
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Bray | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Athlone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | UC Dublin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Longford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Finn Harps | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Kerry | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Wexford | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Cobh Ramblers | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
