Treaty United vs Kerry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 Treaty United - Kerry
04/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Chances of winning


Treaty United
50.1%
Draw
25.3%
Kerry
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 24.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 20.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treaty United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kerry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Treaty United - Kerry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.67
    (3.78)
    3.76
    (3.52)
    7.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.
    • Treaty United might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Kerry were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Kerry - Treaty United 1:0
    04.04.2025 Treaty United - Kerry 3:0
    06.09.2024 Treaty United - Kerry 0:1
    03.06.2024 Kerry - Treaty United 2:1
    12.04.2024 Treaty United - Kerry 0:0
    Latest results of Treaty United
    Latest results of Kerry
    01.08.2025 Kerry - Athlone Town 4:0
    18.07.2025 Kerry - Athlone Town 2:1
    12.07.2025 Longford Town - Kerry 3:1
    04.07.2025 Kerry - Dundalk 0:4
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk25167240:182255
    2Cobh Ramblers25154644:251949
    3Bray25161844:321249
    4UC Dublin25106927:24336
    5Treaty United2597940:281234
    6Wexford25861130:34-430
    7Longford25671224:44-2025
    8Finn Harps24591027:33-624
    9Kerry24731428:41-1324
    10Athlone25381418:43-2517

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