Treaty United vs Kerry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 Treaty United - Kerry
Result
1:1
04/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Teahan R. 🟨,
  • 24', Lynch L. , Conroy C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Devitt L. 🟨,
  • 58', Cleary R. , Adams J. ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Ferry P. ,
  • 67', Okwute D. , Amechi K. ,
  • 67', Mujaguzi C. , Mcgrath S. ,
  • 72', O'Connell S. , Brosnan C. ,
  • 72', Williams K. , Barrett F. ,
  • 77', Murphy S. , Wilson C. ,
  • 77', Byrne M. , Hanson J. ,
  • 77', Ferry P. , Owens D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Lee E. ,
  • 86', O'Connor E. 🟨,
  • 89', Boevi R. , Nwankwo D. ,
  • 90+1', Crowe O. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Owens D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Healy S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Mcgrath S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Treaty United
49.8%
Draw
25.8%
Kerry
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 24.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 20.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Treaty United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treaty United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kerry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Treaty United - Kerry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.84)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    3.77
    (3.52)
    8.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Treaty United - Kerry?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Treaty United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Treaty United will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Treaty United is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Kerry were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Kerry - Treaty United 1:0
    04.04.2025 Treaty United - Kerry 3:0
    06.09.2024 Treaty United - Kerry 0:1
    03.06.2024 Kerry - Treaty United 2:1
    12.04.2024 Treaty United - Kerry 0:0
    Latest results of Treaty United
    Latest results of Kerry
    01.08.2025 Kerry - Athlone Town 4:0
    18.07.2025 Kerry - Athlone Town 2:1
    12.07.2025 Longford Town - Kerry 3:1
    04.07.2025 Kerry - Dundalk 0:4
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk28197257:203764
    2Cobh Ramblers28175652:272556
    3Bray28172947:361153
    4UC Dublin28127932:27543
    5Treaty United28981141:38335
    6Finn Harps277101032:36-431
    7Wexford28861430:40-1030
    8Kerry27841530:43-1328
    9Longford28771427:49-2228
    10Athlone28381721:53-3217

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