Result
06/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Treaty United
42.7% | Draw
28.3% | Kerry
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kerry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treaty United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kerry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Treaty United - Kerry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.33) |
3.24 ↓
(3.54) |
3.15 ↑
(2.66) |
9.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 2.
- Treaty United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kerry is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Kerry were as follows:
13.01.2026
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:4
26.09.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:1
04.08.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
1:1
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
04.04.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
3:0
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Athlone | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | UC Dublin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wexford | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Finn Harps | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Bray | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Cobh Ramblers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Longford | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Kerry | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
