Result
17/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Kerry
37.9% | Draw
30.5% | Treaty United
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Kerry - Treaty United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.45) |
3 ↑
(2.98) |
2.9 ↓
(2.92) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 1.
- Kerry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Treaty United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kerry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kerry - Treaty United were as follows:
06.03.2026
Treaty United
-
Kerry
2:2
13.01.2026
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:4
26.09.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:1
04.08.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
1:1
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Wexford | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | UC Dublin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Bray | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Athlone | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Finn Harps | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Longford | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kerry | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
