Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', McQueen C. 🟨,
- 23', Boevi R. 🟨,
- 30', O'Connor D. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
- 42', Healy A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kerry
35.3% | Draw
32.1% | Treaty United
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Kerry - Treaty United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.43) |
2.91 ↓
(3.3) |
2.85 ↑
(2.6) |
7.3%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Treaty United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kerry won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kerry won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kerry won against Treaty United?
Kerry has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Kerry?
Treaty United has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kerry - Treaty United were as follows:
04.08.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
1:1
09.05.2025
Kerry
-
Treaty United
1:0
04.04.2025
Treaty United
-
Kerry
3:0
06.09.2024
Treaty United
-
Kerry
0:1
03.06.2024
Kerry
-
Treaty United
2:1
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundalk | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 69:30 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 68:33 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Bray ✔ | 34 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 57:50 | 7 | 59 |
| 4 | UC Dublin ✔ | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:35 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Treaty United | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47:47 | 0 | 42 |
| 6 | Wexford | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 41 |
| 7 | Longford | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:57 | -19 | 39 |
| 8 | Finn Harps | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Kerry | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 10 | Athlone | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26:65 | -39 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bray is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )
UC Dublin is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )
