Result
04/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Chances of winning
Treaty United
29.2% | Draw
27.6% | Wexford
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treaty United's form might have worsened.Wexford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wexford's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Treaty United - Wexford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.61) |
3.3
(3.3) |
2.11 ↓
(2.44) |
9.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 1.
- Treaty United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Wexford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wexford might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Treaty United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Treaty United won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Wexford?
Treaty United has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wexford won against Treaty United?
Wexford has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Treaty United - Wexford were as follows:
27.03.2026
Wexford
-
Treaty United
3:2
17.10.2025
Wexford
-
Treaty United
0:2
23.06.2025
Treaty United
-
Wexford
0:0
21.04.2025
Wexford
-
Treaty United
2:0
14.03.2025
Treaty United
-
Wexford
0:1
Latest results of Treaty United
Latest results of Wexford
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | UC Dublin | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Wexford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Athlone | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Bray | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Longford | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Finn Harps | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Kerry | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
