Al-Nasr vs Khor Fakkan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
22/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 2, ADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.361.26
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
30
Passes
89% (517/582)72% (190/264)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.361.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.981.21
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
30
Touches in opposition box
3220
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free kicks
109
Passes
89% (517/582)72% (190/264)
Long passes
59% (24/41)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
75% (115/153)61% (54/88)
Crosses
14% (3/21)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.69
Throw ins
2115
Fouls
910
Tackles
45% (5/11)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3742
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
30
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.211.98
Goals prevented
-0.79-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Ghayedi M. , Felipe Motta (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Tissoudali T. , Diallo A. (A),
  • 27', Pavlov P. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Diallo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Felipe Motta , Petrovic D. ,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Milivojevic L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 56', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
  • 68', Agudelo K. , Mierez R. ,
  • 68', Jshak A. , Al Ameri Y. ,
  • 69', Mahdi H. , Santos J. ,
  • 69', Camara A. , N'Guessan J. ,
  • 75', Barman A. , Filipe Augusto ,
  • 82', Faiz I. , Al Zaabi Z. ,
  • 83', Saatci S. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 83', Tissoudali T. , Humaid H. ,
  • 87', Al Ameri Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Nasr
50.5%
Draw
24.7%
Khor Fakkan
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 24.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 24.6% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Khor Fakkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khor Fakkan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.96)
    3.73
    (3.82)
    3.72
    (3.27)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 3.
    • Al-Nasr is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Khor Fakkan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Nasr could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 0:0
    03.05.2025 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 3:3
    15.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan 3:1
    13.05.2024 Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan 2:1
    17.02.2024 Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Nasr
    14.02.2026 Al Ain - Al-Nasr 1:1
    05.02.2026 Al-Nasr - Al Wasl 1:1
    29.01.2026 Al-Nasr - Bani Yas 0:2
    17.01.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 0:0
    06.01.2026 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:4
    Latest results of Khor Fakkan
    14.02.2026 Khor Fakkan - Ajman Club 2:5
    06.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan 2:3
    28.01.2026 Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan 0:1
    17.01.2026 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 0:0
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain18135038:162244
    2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai17133138:53342
    3Al Wahda1796228:141433
    4Al Jazira1894528:161231
    5Al Wasl1786321:16530
    6Al Nasr1858522:23-123
    7Ajman1872919:24-523
    8Ittihad Kalba1855819:28-920
    9Khorfakkan1854926:33-719
    10Al Dhafra18531024:37-1318
    11Al Sharjah17521022:32-1017
    12Bani Yas17421116:30-1414
    13Dibba Al Fujairah17341016:32-1613
    14Al Bataeh18341117:28-1113

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