Result
1:2
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.88 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.67% (1/15) | 10.53% (2/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.47% (17/19) | 93.33% (14/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 62.22 | 37.78 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:21, 1 - 0, Sallinen T. (G), Hillis C. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
- 00:52, 1 - 1, Hartikainen T. (G),
- 08:27, Korkiakoski T. (2 min),
- 11:37, Curry P. (2 min),
- 17:26, Peltomaki N. (2 min),
- 18:10, 1 - 2, Hartikainen T. (G), Lappalainen L. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 18:13, Nakyva K. (2 min),
- 18:50, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Kiekko-Espoo
40.7% | Draw
23.6% | KalPa
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.42) |
4 ↑
(3.85) |
2.64 ↑
(2.54) |
5.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Kiekko-Espoo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- KalPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against KalPa?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against Kiekko-Espoo?
KalPa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa were as follows:
16.09.2025
KalPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:2
07.03.2025
KalPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:4
25.01.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
KalPa
0:3
21.12.2024
KalPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:3
28.09.2024
Kiekko-Espoo
-
KalPa
1:2
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
