KalPa vs Kiekko-Espoo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo
Result
4:2
16/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.252.60
Shots on Goal
2530
Shots off target
1011
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)6.67% (2/30)
Blocked Shots
315
Goalkeeper Saves
2821
Saves PCT
93.33% (28/30)87.5% (21/24)
Penalties
26
PIM
412
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)83.33% (5/6)
Faceoffs Won
2525
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:09, 1 - 0, Klemetti A. (G), Westerlund F. (A), Curry P. (A2)
  • 14:17, Aronsson A. (2 min),
  • 15:14, 2 - 0, Curry P. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
  • 18:19, Hillis C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:11, Stevens J. (2 min),
  • 08:00, 3 - 0, Okany A. (G), Korhonen B. (A),
  • 08:12, Kanak L. (2 min),
  • 13:36, 3 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), Keskitalo M. (A), Nakyva K. (A2)
  • 19:11, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 10:09, 3 - 2, Vaisanen J. (G), Tuomaala A. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
  • 17:54, Curry P. (2 min),
  • 18:25, 4 - 2, Korhonen B. (G),
  • 19:00, Kulonummi K. (2 min),

Chances of winning


KalPa
55.2%
Draw
22%
Kiekko-Espoo
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 23.8% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 23.3% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KalPa's performance.
  • Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.95)
    4.38
    (4)
    4.3
    (3.49)
    4.4%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo?
  • Users Predictions: KalPa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KalPa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • KalPa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kiekko-Espoo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • KalPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, KalPa is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
    07.03.2025 KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    25.01.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa 0:3
    21.12.2024 KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo 2:3
    28.09.2024 Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa 1:2
    Latest results of KalPa
    13.09.2025 KalPa - Tappara 3:5
    09.09.2025 SaiPa - KalPa 3:4
    06.09.2025 KalPa - Red Bull Salzburg 3:2
    04.09.2025 KalPa - Storhamar Dragons 6:1
    30.08.2025 ERC Ingolstadt - KalPa 1:4
    Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
    13.09.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät 2:1
    12.09.2025 HIFK - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    09.09.2025 Pelicans - Kiekko-Espoo 1:0
    27.08.2025 HPK - Kiekko-Espoo 3:1
    23.08.2025 KooKoo - Kiekko-Espoo 7:1
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

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