Kingston Frontenacs vs Niagara IceDogs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 OT
21/02/2026 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • OHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:41, 0 - 1, Reid H. (G),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 05:08, 1 - 1, Buttar N. (G), Mondoux A. (A), McCuaig C. (A2)
  • 06:33, 2 - 1, Wright L. (G), Mclean A. (A), McGowan M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 05:45, 3 - 1, Wright L. (G), Henderson M. (A), Mclean A. (A2)
  • 09:14, 3 - 2, Patterson R. (G), Chromiak J. (A), Czata E. (A2)
  • 19', 3 - 3, Patterson R. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 02:55, 3 - 4, Reid H. (G),

Chances of winning


Kingston Frontenacs
57.1%
Draw
19.1%
Niagara IceDogs
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 18.6% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 20.5% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kingston Frontenacs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kingston Frontenacs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.63)
    4.78
    (4.93)
    3.85
    (3.67)
    9.4%
    (8.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Kingston has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Kingston is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 87:64. (average 4.4:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kingston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:26. (average 4.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs were as follows:
    14.11.2025 Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs 4:3
    25.10.2025 Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs 4:1
    09.03.2025 Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs 3:4
    22.02.2025 Kingston Frontenacs - Niagara IceDogs 6:3
    20.10.2024 Niagara IceDogs - Kingston Frontenacs 4:3
    Latest results of Niagara IceDogs
    OHL Table
    2025/26

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Kitchener Rangers ✔ 60366612227:15490
    2Windsor Spitfires ✔ 60336714228:15185
    3Flint Firebirds ✔ 60345615231:17584
    4Soo Greyhounds ✔ 59287618228:17776
    5London Knights ✔ 602311521205:18273
    6Guelph Storm59224528199:23057
    7Owen Sound Attack60194829215:24554
    8Saginaw Spirit60193731199:25851
    9Sarnia Sting60126834177:25344
    10Erie Otters59143735154:23841


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Brantford Bulldogs ✔ 5938399259:16691
    2Barrie Colts ✔ 603111612217:16590
    3Ottawa 67s ✔ 59356414229:14586
    4Peterborough Petes ✔ 60277422206:20972
    5North Bay Battalion ✔ 60259323207:19171
    6Niagara IceDogs ✔ 591811525183:21763
    7Kingston Frontenacs60243528190:19059
    8Sudbury Wolves60195234190:23250
    9Brampton Steelheads59141935143:21939
    10Oshawa Generals59115340149:23335

          Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kitchener Rangers is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Windsor Spitfires is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Flint Firebirds is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Soo Greyhounds is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    London Knights is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Brantford Bulldogs is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Barrie Colts is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa 67s is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Peterborough Petes is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    North Bay Battalion is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    Niagara IceDogs is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )