Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 12
  • Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.63
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
74% (205/277)84% (425/505)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.670.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.79
Total shots
912
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1030
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
913
Passes
74% (205/277)84% (425/505)
Long passes
34% (20/59)46% (30/65)
Passes in final third
59% (41/69)71% (114/161)
Crosses
40% (2/5)30% (10/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.01
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
139
Tackles
45% (5/11)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
4414
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.790.62
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', Osimhen V. 🟨,
  • 38', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Agyei D. , Dursun S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Singo W. , Sallai R. ,
  • 47', Smolcic H. 🟨,
  • 64', Torreira L. , Gabriel Sara ,
  • 64', Jakobs I. , Elmali E. ,
  • 72', Keita H. , Show ,
  • 72', Dursun S. , Keles C. ,
  • 90', Agyei D. , Syrota O. ,
  • 90', Sanchez D. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 90+6', Linetty K. , Churlinov D. ,

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
14.1%
Draw
20.5%
Galatasaray
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 19.1% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4% 18.5% 68%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Kocaelispor - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.8
    (6.36)
    4.65
    (4.94)
    1.46
    (1.43)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 76.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Galatasaray (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Galatasaray (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Galatasaray (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Galatasaray will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Kocaelispor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Galatasaray is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Akgun Y. (Groin Injury) Gundogan I. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    01.11.2025 Galatasaray - Trabzonspor 0:0
    26.10.2025 Galatasaray - Göztepe 3:1
    22.10.2025 Galatasaray - Bodø Glimt 3:1
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig