Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 14
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.15
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
87% (419/479)87% (380/436)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.00
Total shots
155
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
87% (419/479)87% (380/436)
Long passes
42% (20/48)61% (34/56)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)68% (65/95)
Crosses
34% (10/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.28
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1615
Tackles
70% (7/10)38% (6/16)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.01
Goals prevented
0.000.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Dursun S. , Oguz A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Demir D. , Koita S. ,
  • 60', Mimaroglu M. , Onyekuru H. ,
  • 69', Onur S. , Varesanovic D. ,
  • 84', Churlinov D. , Keles C. ,
  • 84', Linetty K. , Keita H. ,
  • 88', Tongya F. , Csoboth K. ,
  • 90+2', Agyei D. , Syrota O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
48.1%
Draw
28.1%
Gençlerbirliği
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.8% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.18)
    3.35
    (3.37)
    3.99
    (3.62)
    5.2%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Kocaelispor (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1.
    • Kocaelispor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Balogh B. (Yellow Cards) Petkovic B. (Injury) Rivas R. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G. (Injury) Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Thalisson Kelven (Red Card) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Ulgun O. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 1:0
    10.08.2024 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:1
    15.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 2:0
    28.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:2
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig