Kocaelispor vs Gençlerbirliği – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 14
  • Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.15
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
87% (419/479)87% (380/436)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.00
Total shots
155
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
91
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
87% (419/479)87% (380/436)
Long passes
42% (20/48)61% (34/56)
Passes in final third
69% (78/113)68% (65/95)
Crosses
34% (10/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.28
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1615
Tackles
70% (7/10)38% (6/16)
Duels won
4138
Clearances
1124
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.01
Goals prevented
0.000.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Dursun S. , Oguz A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Demir D. , Koita S. ,
  • 60', Mimaroglu M. , Onyekuru H. ,
  • 69', Onur S. , Varesanovic D. ,
  • 84', Churlinov D. , Keles C. ,
  • 84', Linetty K. , Keita H. ,
  • 88', Tongya F. , Csoboth K. ,
  • 90+2', Agyei D. , Syrota O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
48.1%
Draw
28.1%
Gençlerbirliği
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.8% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.3% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Gençlerbirliği has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.18)
    3.35
    (3.37)
    3.99
    (3.62)
    5.2%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Kocaelispor (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1.
    • Kocaelispor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Gençlerbirliği has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Balogh B. (Yellow Cards) Petkovic B. (Injury) Rivas R. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Akkan G. (Injury) Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Kyabou M. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury) Thalisson Kelven (Red Card) Unal E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Ulgun O. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 1:0
    10.08.2024 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:1
    15.03.2024 Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor 2:0
    28.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 2:2
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Gençlerbirliği
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray29215367:224568
    2Fenerbahce29199166:283866
    3Trabzonspor29197356:312564
    4Besiktas29167653:341955
    5Basaksehir29138847:301747
    6Goztepe291211636:261047
    7Samsunspor28812832:37-536
    8Kocaelispor29981224:33-935
    9Konyaspor298101136:41-534
    10Gaziantep288101037:47-1034
    11Alanyaspor29615835:34133
    12Rizespor28891137:39-233
    13Kasimpasa296101328:41-1328
    14Antalyaspor29771530:47-1728
    15Genclerbirligi29671628:42-1425
    16Kayserispor294111421:54-3323
    17Eyupspor28571619:41-2222
    18Karagumruk29551926:51-2520

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig