Result
4:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 37
- Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (541/596) | 77% (228/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (541/596) | 77% (228/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (33/46) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (106/133) | 45% (31/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -2.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Avramovski D. ⚽, Bruno G. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Engin A. ⚽, Cavlan C. (A),
- 23', 3 - 0, Sarikaya M. ⚽, Rogerio Thuram (A),
- 36', 4 - 0, Rogerio Thuram ⚽, Engin A. (A),
- 44', Sen B. ↓, Gocen A. ↑,
- 44', Sagat A. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Eysseric V. ↓, Akyildiz S. ↑,
- 59', Rogerio Thuram ↓, Colgecen M. ↑,
- 67', Ozturk A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
- 67', Vukovic J. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
- 76', Engin A. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
- 77', Avramovski D. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 81', Yilmaz M. ↓, Cil M. ↑,
- 86', Kaya G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Igdirspor
66.8% | Draw
19.8% | Kocaelispor
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igdirspor's performance.Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-21.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igdirspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Igdirspor - Kocaelispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(2.12) |
4.69 ↑
(3.41) |
6.98 ↑
(3.3) |
8.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Kocaelispor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH -1 - Igdirspor (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Igdirspor will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Igdirspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
- Kocaelispor is Qualified for Super Lig
- Igdirspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kocaelispor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Igdirspor is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S.
(Injury)
Regattin A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Oguz A.
(Yellow Cards)
Yalcin S.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Igdirspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Kocaelispor?
Igdirspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Igdirspor?
Kocaelispor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
03.01.2025
Kocaelispor
-
Igdirspor
3:0
Latest results of Igdirspor
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
