Igdirspor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Igdirspor - Kocaelispor
Result
4:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.24
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
91% (541/596)77% (228/296)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.06
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
91% (541/596)77% (228/296)
Long passes
72% (33/46)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
80% (106/133)45% (31/69)
Crosses
47% (7/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.19
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1010
Tackles
83% (10/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.061.85
Goals prevented
0.06-2.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Avramovski D. , Bruno G. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Engin A. , Cavlan C. (A),
  • 23', 3 - 0, Sarikaya M. , Rogerio Thuram (A),
  • 36', 4 - 0, Rogerio Thuram , Engin A. (A),
  • 44', Sen B. , Gocen A. ,
  • 44', Sagat A. , Alici B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Eysseric V. , Akyildiz S. ,
  • 59', Rogerio Thuram , Colgecen M. ,
  • 67', Ozturk A. , Bekaroglu B. ,
  • 67', Vukovic J. , Gedik F. ,
  • 76', Engin A. , Ethemi V. ,
  • 77', Avramovski D. , Colak A. ,
  • 81', Yilmaz M. , Cil M. ,
  • 86', Kaya G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
66.8%
Draw
19.8%
Kocaelispor
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 26.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igdirspor's performance.
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-21.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igdirspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Igdirspor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (2.12)
    4.69
    (3.41)
    6.98
    (3.3)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Igdirspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Kocaelispor is Qualified for Super Lig
    • Igdirspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kocaelispor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Igdirspor is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S. (Injury) Regattin A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Oguz A. (Yellow Cards) Yalcin S. (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Igdirspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Kocaelispor - Igdirspor 3:0
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    21.04.2025 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0
    14.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor 1:1
    08.04.2025 Igdirspor - İstanbulspor 3:0
    04.04.2025 Amed SK - Igdirspor 0:0
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    27.04.2025 Kocaelispor - Boluspor 3:4
    20.04.2025 Erokspor - Kocaelispor 3:1
    10.04.2025 Adanaspor - Kocaelispor 1:4
    31.03.2025 Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor 3:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum44009:2712
    2Erzurumspor42209:548
    3Bodrumspor42209:548
    4Pendikspor42208:538
    5Amedspor421114:777
    6Erokspor42119:367
    7Boluspor42119:637
    8Bandirmaspor42117:437
    9Vanspor FK42115:417
    10Manisa FK41215:505
    11Igdir FK41215:505
    12Keciorengucu41125:504
    13Istanbulspor AS40402:204
    14Umraniyespor41123:5-24
    15Sakaryaspor41126:10-44
    16Serik Spor41123:9-64
    17Hatayspor40224:7-32
    18Sariyer40133:7-41
    19Sivasspor40134:9-51
    20Adana Demirspor40133:17-14-11

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation