Igdirspor vs Kocaelispor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League
Football Turkish First League Igdirspor - Kocaelispor
Result
4:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 37
  • Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.24
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
91% (541/596)77% (228/296)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.850.06
Total shots
186
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
248
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
91% (541/596)77% (228/296)
Long passes
72% (33/46)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
80% (106/133)45% (31/69)
Crosses
47% (7/15)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.19
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1010
Tackles
83% (10/12)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
1618
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.061.85
Goals prevented
0.06-2.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Avramovski D. ⚽, Bruno G. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Engin A. ⚽, Cavlan C. (A),
  • 23', 3 - 0, Sarikaya M. ⚽, Rogerio Thuram (A),
  • 36', 4 - 0, Rogerio Thuram ⚽, Engin A. (A),
  • 44', Sen B. ↓, Gocen A. ↑,
  • 44', Sagat A. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Eysseric V. ↓, Akyildiz S. ↑,
  • 59', Rogerio Thuram ↓, Colgecen M. ↑,
  • 67', Ozturk A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
  • 67', Vukovic J. ↓, Gedik F. ↑,
  • 76', Engin A. ↓, Ethemi V. ↑,
  • 77', Avramovski D. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
  • 81', Yilmaz M. ↓, Cil M. ↑,
  • 86', Kaya G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
66.8%		Draw
19.8%		Kocaelispor
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 26.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Igdirspor's performance.
  • Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kocaelispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-21.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igdirspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kocaelispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Igdirspor - Kocaelispor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↓
    (2.12)    		 4.69 ↑
    (3.41)    		 6.98 ↑
    (3.3)    		 8.1%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Kocaelispor?
  • Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Igdirspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Kocaelispor is Qualified for Super Lig
    • Igdirspor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kocaelispor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Igdirspor is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Igdirspor: Asan S. (Injury) Regattin A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Oguz A. (Yellow Cards) Yalcin S. (Yellow Cards)
    • We predict that Igdirspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Kocaelispor were as follows:
    03.01.2025 Kocaelispor - Igdirspor 3:0
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    27.04.2025 Yeni Malatyaspor - Igdirspor 0:9
    21.04.2025 Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor 4:0 ✺
    14.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Igdirspor 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Igdirspor - İstanbulspor 3:0 ✺
    04.04.2025 Amed SK - Igdirspor 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    27.04.2025 Kocaelispor - Boluspor 3:4
    20.04.2025 Erokspor - Kocaelispor 3:1 ✺
    10.04.2025 Adanaspor - Kocaelispor 1:4 ✺
    06.04.2025 Bandırmaspor - Kocaelispor 2:2
    31.03.2025 Kocaelispor - Sakaryaspor 3:1 ✺
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Adana Demirspor00000:000
    2Istanbulspor AS00000:000
    3Sakaryaspor00000:000
    4Amedspor00000:000
    5Hatayspor00000:000
    6Pendikspor00000:000
    7Sariyer00000:000
    8Sivasspor00000:000
    9Boluspor00000:000
    10Vanspor FK00000:000
    11Bandirmaspor00000:000
    12Keciorengucu00000:000
    13Umraniyespor00000:000
    14Erzurumspor00000:000
    15Corum00000:000
    16Bodrumspor00000:000
    17Manisa FK00000:000
    18Erokspor00000:000
    19Serik Spor00000:000
    20Igdir FK00000:000

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

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