Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 15
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.19
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (372/456)65% (145/223)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.00
Total shots
94
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
188
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
82% (372/456)65% (145/223)
Long passes
53% (34/64)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
64% (79/124)45% (29/64)
Crosses
15% (4/27)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.18
Throw-ins
3223
Fouls
1019
Tackles
100% (12/12)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
2055
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.29
Goals prevented
0.001.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Espinoza J. 🟨,
  • 42', Smolcic H. , Balogh B. ,
  • 45', Oguz A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Linetty K. , Keita H. ,
  • 59', Nonge J. , Keles C. ,
  • 69', Barasi Y. 🟨,
  • 69', Barasi Y. , Kol A. ,
  • 81', Churlinov D. , Rivas R. ,
  • 82', Bingol T. , Petkovic B. ,
  • 85', Gueye P. , Kanatsizkus K. ,
  • 85', Diabate F. , Szalai At. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
53%
Draw
27.4%
Kasımpaşa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 27.7% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 27.2% 21.4%

Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.78
(1.87)
3.44
(3.41)
4.84
(4.33)
5.8%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Kocaelispor (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).
    • Kocaelispor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Albayrak E. (Suspended) Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury) Tasdemir E. (Injury) Yanar A. (Suspended)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1.5:5).
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    Latest results of Kasımpaşa
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig