Kocaelispor vs Keçiörengücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.730.74
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (390/459)84% (318/379)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.730.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.57
Total shots
146
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
85% (390/459)84% (318/379)
Long passes
55% (16/29)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
70% (76/109)68% (44/65)
Crosses
27% (4/15)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.210.32
Throw-ins
186
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (15/21)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
817
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.572.66
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 22', Yildiz U. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Mendes R. , Celik C. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Caglayan O. , Mendes R. (A),
  • 36', 3 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
  • 43', 3 - 1, Ayaydin O. , Silva M. (A),
  • 45+2', 4 - 1, Caglayan O. , Mendes R. (A),
  • 45+3', Caglayan O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dembele P. M. , Celik A. ,
  • 57', Celik C. , Serbest T. ,
  • 57', Gedik F. , Gedik E. ,
  • 68', Traore A. , Kilic H. ,
  • 80', Appindangoye A. , Tunali M. ,
  • 81', Cinan M. , Bilim E. ,
  • 84', Ayaydin O. , Atassalar M. ,
  • 86', Oguz A. , Cil M. ,
  • 87', Dere A. , Yikilmaz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
71.2%
Draw
17.1%
Keçiörengücü
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 21.6% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 21% 18.3%

Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.55)
5.43
(4.26)
8
(4.9)
6.2%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 13).
    • Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 4.
    • Recent form of Kocaelispor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Kocaelispor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor 0:1
    25.02.2024 Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor 2:2
    01.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü 3:0
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    04.05.2025 Igdirspor - Kocaelispor 4:0
    27.04.2025 Kocaelispor - Boluspor 3:4
    20.04.2025 Erokspor - Kocaelispor 3:1
    10.04.2025 Adanaspor - Kocaelispor 1:4
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amedspor21133543:271642
    2Erzurumspor21109237:172039
    3Erokspor21108346:202638
    4Pendikspor21108333:171638
    5Corum21105632:221035
    6Bodrumspor2196639:201933
    7Igdir FK2196630:28233
    8Boluspor2195738:231532
    9Keciorengucu2179538:251330
    10Bandirmaspor2186726:22430
    11Vanspor FK2177727:21628
    12Sivasspor2177726:22428
    13Istanbulspor AS21610530:32-228
    14Manisa FK2176831:33-227
    15Sariyer21831022:26-427
    16Serik Spor2175923:37-1426
    17Umraniyespor21731125:30-524
    18Sakaryaspor21651032:40-823
    19Hatayspor21071418:57-397
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 21021915:92-77-28

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to