Result
4:1
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.73 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (390/459) | 84% (318/379) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.73 | 0.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.66 | 0.57 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (390/459) | 84% (318/379) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (16/29) | 54% (28/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (76/109) | 68% (44/65) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.21 | 0.32 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 6 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (15/21) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
8 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.57 | 2.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.43 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 22', Yildiz U. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Mendes R. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Caglayan O. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 36', 3 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
- 43', 3 - 1, Ayaydin O. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
- 45+2', 4 - 1, Caglayan O. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 45+3', Caglayan O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dembele P. M. ↓, Celik A. ↑,
- 57', Celik C. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 57', Gedik F. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 68', Traore A. ↓, Kilic H. ↑,
- 80', Appindangoye A. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
- 81', Cinan M. ↓, Bilim E. ↑,
- 84', Ayaydin O. ↓, Atassalar M. ↑,
- 86', Oguz A. ↓, Cil M. ↑,
- 87', Dere A. ↓, Yikilmaz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor 71.2% | Draw 17.1% | Keçiörengücü 11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keçiörengücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.55) |
5.43 ↑ (4.26) |
8 ↑ (4.9) |
6.2% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 13).
- Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 4.
- Recent form of Kocaelispor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kocaelispor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kocaelispor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K.
(Suspended)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Keçiörengücü?
Kocaelispor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Kocaelispor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
12.01.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Kocaelispor
0:1
25.02.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Kocaelispor
2:2
01.10.2023
Kocaelispor
-
Keçiörengücü
3:0
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Adana Demirspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Istanbulspor AS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Sakaryaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Amedspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Hatayspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Pendikspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Sariyer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sivasspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Boluspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vanspor FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Bandirmaspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Keciorengucu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Umraniyespor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Erzurumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Corum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bodrumspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Manisa FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Erokspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Serik Spor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Igdir FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation