Result
4:1
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.73 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (390/459) | 84% (318/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.73 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (390/459) | 84% (318/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 54% (28/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/109) | 68% (44/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 22', Yildiz U. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Mendes R. ⚽, Celik C. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Caglayan O. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 36', 3 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
- 43', 3 - 1, Ayaydin O. ⚽, Silva M. (A),
- 45+2', 4 - 1, Caglayan O. ⚽, Mendes R. (A),
- 45+3', Caglayan O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dembele P. M. ↓, Celik A. ↑,
- 57', Celik C. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
- 57', Gedik F. ↓, Gedik E. ↑,
- 68', Traore A. ↓, Kilic H. ↑,
- 80', Appindangoye A. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
- 81', Cinan M. ↓, Bilim E. ↑,
- 84', Ayaydin O. ↓, Atassalar M. ↑,
- 86', Oguz A. ↓, Cil M. ↑,
- 87', Dere A. ↓, Yikilmaz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
71.2% | Draw
17.1% | Keçiörengücü
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keçiörengücü might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keçiörengücü could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.55) |
5.43 ↑
(4.26) |
8 ↑
(4.9) |
6.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kocaelispor will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 13).
- Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 4.
- Recent form of Kocaelispor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Kocaelispor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kocaelispor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K.
(Suspended)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Keçiörengücü?
Kocaelispor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Kocaelispor?
Keçiörengücü has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
12.01.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Kocaelispor
0:1
25.02.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Kocaelispor
2:2
01.10.2023
Kocaelispor
-
Keçiörengücü
3:0
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
