Kocaelispor vs Keçiörengücü – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 38
  • Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.730.74
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
85% (390/459)84% (318/379)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
3.730.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.660.57
Total shots
146
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
85% (390/459)84% (318/379)
Long passes
55% (16/29)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
70% (76/109)68% (44/65)
Crosses
27% (4/15)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.210.32
Throw-ins
186
Fouls
1113
Tackles
71% (15/21)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
817
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.572.66
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 22', Yildiz U. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Mendes R. , Celik C. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Caglayan O. , Mendes R. (A),
  • 36', 3 - 0, Caglayan O. (Pen),
  • 43', 3 - 1, Ayaydin O. , Silva M. (A),
  • 45+2', 4 - 1, Caglayan O. , Mendes R. (A),
  • 45+3', Caglayan O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dembele P. M. , Celik A. ,
  • 57', Celik C. , Serbest T. ,
  • 57', Gedik F. , Gedik E. ,
  • 68', Traore A. , Kilic H. ,
  • 80', Appindangoye A. , Tunali M. ,
  • 81', Cinan M. , Bilim E. ,
  • 84', Ayaydin O. , Atassalar M. ,
  • 86', Oguz A. , Cil M. ,
  • 87', Dere A. , Yikilmaz M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kocaelispor
71.2%
Draw
17.1%
Keçiörengücü
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 21.6% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 21% 18.3%

Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.55)
5.43
(4.26)
8
(4.9)
6.2%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 13).
    • Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 4.
    • Recent form of Kocaelispor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Keçiörengücü's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Kocaelispor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Kocaelispor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Donertas K. (Suspended)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor 0:1
    25.02.2024 Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor 2:2
    01.10.2023 Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü 3:0
    Latest results of Kocaelispor
    04.05.2025 Igdirspor - Kocaelispor 4:0
    27.04.2025 Kocaelispor - Boluspor 3:4
    20.04.2025 Erokspor - Kocaelispor 3:1
    10.04.2025 Adanaspor - Kocaelispor 1:4
    Latest results of Keçiörengücü
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pendikspor1595129:92032
    2Amedspor16102437:241332
    3Erokspor1694339:182131
    4Bodrumspor1593336:132330
    5Igdir FK1684427:22528
    6Erzurumspor1668228:151326
    7Corum1574423:18525
    8Serik Spor1674521:23-225
    9Boluspor1665525:17823
    10Bandirmaspor1565418:14423
    11Keciorengucu1656525:19621
    12Vanspor FK1656520:18221
    13Sivasspor1655620:17320
    14Sakaryaspor1654728:34-619
    15Istanbulspor AS1639417:25-818
    16Manisa FK1644823:29-616
    17Umraniyespor1643913:26-1315
    18Sariyer1542913:22-914
    19Hatayspor15051015:39-245
    20Adana Demirspor16021412:67-55-22

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation