Kokand 1912 vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
65
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Odilov A. ,
  • 19', Ismoilov A. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 34', Gvazava S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Khakimov Z. , Akramov S. ,
  • 59', Yuldoshev I. , Sayfiev F. ,
  • 66', Malikdzhonov I. , Khasanov M. ,
  • 66', Khaydarov A. , Khusanov J. ,
  • 79', Odilov A. , Ruziev K. ,
  • 79', Kojo J. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 79', Nimely S. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Gadoev S. , Khusanov J. (A),
  • 89', 1 - 2, Djokic J. , Jovovic V. (A),
  • 90+4', Gadoev S. , Abdurakhimov B. ,
  • 90+4', Gvazava S. , Kondratyuk Y. ,

Chances of winning


Kokand 1912
14%
Draw
22.4%
Neftchi Fargona
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 27.5% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 26.1% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kokand 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kokand 1912's form might have worsened.
  • Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kokand 1912, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.86
    (3.66)
    4.29
    (3.4)
    1.51
    (1.99)
    4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Neftchi Fargona (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Kokand 1912 (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Neftchi Fargona (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Neftchi Fargona will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neftchi Fargona will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Kokand 1912 (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Neftchi Fargona (votes: 12 - 92.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 1.
    • Kokand 1912 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Neftchi Fargona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kokand 1912 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    14.03.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Kokand 1912 0:0
    Latest results of Kokand 1912
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pakhtakor22004:136
    2Andijan21015:233
    3Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    4Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Qizilqum21012:3-13
    10Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    11OKMK10010:1-10
    12Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Kokand 191220021:3-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

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