Result
1:2
07/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Referee: Djuraev G. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Odilov A. ⚽,
- 19', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
- 34', Gvazava S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Khakimov Z. ↓, Akramov S. ↑,
- 59', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
- 66', Malikdzhonov I. ↓, Khasanov M. ↑,
- 66', Khaydarov A. ↓, Khusanov J. ↑,
- 79', Odilov A. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
- 79', Kojo J. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 79', Nimely S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Gadoev S. ⚽, Khusanov J. (A),
- 89', 1 - 2, Djokic J. ⚽, Jovovic V. (A),
- 90+4', Gadoev S. ↓, Abdurakhimov B. ↑,
- 90+4', Gvazava S. ↓, Kondratyuk Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kokand 1912 14% | Draw 22.4% | Neftchi Fargona 63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kokand 1912 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kokand 1912's form might have worsened.Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Fargona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kokand 1912, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Fargona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.86 ↑ (3.66) |
4.29 ↑ (3.4) |
1.51 ↓ (1.99) |
4% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona?
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Fargona will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neftchi Fargona will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 1.
- Kokand 1912 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Neftchi Fargona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
- We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kokand 1912 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kokand 1912 won against Neftchi Fargona?
Kokand 1912 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against Kokand 1912?
Neftchi Fargona has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kokand 1912 - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
14.03.2025
Neftchi Fargona
-
Kokand 1912
0:0
Latest results of Kokand 1912
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | OKMK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Andijan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:45 | -26 | 23 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19:49 | -30 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga