Köln vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Poland, Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.151.95
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
45
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
94
Passes
80% (292/365)89% (536/604)
Yellow cards
11
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.151.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.622.40
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
1211
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
52
Free kicks
139
Passes
80% (292/365)89% (536/604)
Long passes
50% (26/52)68% (30/44)
Passes in final third
69% (79/114)81% (149/184)
Crosses
26% (8/31)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.41
Throw ins
1115
Fouls
913
Tackles
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5041
Clearances
2130
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.401.62
Goals prevented
0.400.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. , Beier M. (A),
  • 45+2', Simpson-Pusey J. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Bensebaini R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Johannesson I. , Ozkacar C. ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, Beier M. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 61', Guirassy S. , Silva F. ,
  • 61', Ryerson J. , Couto Y. ,
  • 75', Niang Y. , Maina L. ,
  • 82', Bensebaini R. , Sule N. ,
  • 83', Beier M. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 86', Martel E. 🟨,
  • 86', Krauss T. , Heintz D. ,
  • 86', El Mala S. , Neumann C. ,
  • 86', Ache R. , Bulter M. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Kaminski J. ,
  • 90+1', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Köln
22.7%
Draw
23.8%
Borussia Dortmund
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 22.5% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 21.7% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Köln - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.25
    (4.38)
    4.02
    (4.22)
    1.78
    (1.7)
    4.7%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Köln - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Köln (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Köln (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Borussia D (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Köln (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Borussia D (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (51 of 62 users predict this - 82.26%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%91.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Borussia D (votes: 20 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Köln has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Borussia D has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Huseinbasic D. (Hip Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Schmied J. (Muscle Injury) Sebulonsen S. (Muscle Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Knee Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Muscle Injury) Mane F. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Sule N. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:41. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0
    20.01.2024 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 0:4
    19.08.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0
    18.03.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 6:1
    01.10.2022 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 3:2
    Latest results of Köln
    27.02.2026 Augsburg - Köln 2:0
    21.02.2026 Köln - Hoffenheim 2:2
    14.02.2026 Stuttgart - Köln 3:1
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich26214193:256867
    2Dortmund26177255:262958
    3Hoffenheim26155654:342050
    4Stuttgart26155651:341750
    5RB Leipzig26145748:351347
    6Bayer Leverkusen26136749:331645
    7Eintracht Frankfurt26108849:49038
    8Freiburg26971037:43-634
    9Union Berlin26871131:42-1131
    10Augsburg26941331:45-1431
    11Hamburger SV26791029:37-830
    12B. Monchengladbach26771230:43-1328
    13Mainz26691131:41-1027
    14FC Koln26671335:44-925
    15Werder Bremen26671329:47-1825
    16St. Pauli26661423:42-1924
    17Wolfsburg26561535:56-2121
    18Heidenheim26351824:58-3414

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga