Borussia Dortmund vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.39
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
275
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
172
Passes
88% (534/604)76% (200/263)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.130.00
Total shots
275
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
172
Touches in opposition box
4911
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
810
Passes
88% (534/604)76% (200/263)
Long passes
54% (22/41)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
79% (171/217)46% (19/41)
Crosses
34% (13/38)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
3.130.33
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
108
Tackles
60% (9/15)58% (11/19)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
1039
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.001.13
Goals prevented
0.000.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Johannesson I. 🟨,
  • 45', Sebulonsen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bulter M. , Krauss T. ,
  • 56', Ozkacar C. , Heintz D. ,
  • 63', Guirassy S. 🟨,
  • 68', Gross P. , Sabitzer M. ,
  • 68', Chukwuemeka C. , Beier M. ,
  • 72', Johannesson I. , Schmied J. ,
  • 72', Huseinbasic D. , Ache R. ,
  • 72', El Mala S. , Maina L. ,
  • 79', Adeyemi K. , Silva F. ,
  • 85', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 85', Svensson D. , Brandt J. ,
  • 90+1', Beier M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 0, Beier M. , Silva F. (A),

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
67.4%
Draw
19%
Köln
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 20.8% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 20.1% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.
  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.55)
    5.02
    (4.58)
    7.07
    (5.41)
    3.9%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 37 - 88.1%). Köln will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 78.3%97.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Borussia D (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Borussia D (1.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Borussia D (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Köln (5.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Köln (2.87) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 20 - 87%). Köln (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Köln has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Maina L. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 46:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Köln were as follows:
    20.01.2024 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 0:4
    19.08.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0
    18.03.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 6:1
    01.10.2022 Köln - Borussia Dortmund 3:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Köln
    18.10.2025 Köln - Augsburg 1:1
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga