Köln vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDaystar Pacific, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.421.00
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
115
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
84% (327/390)85% (349/413)
Yellow Cards
16
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.421.00
xG on target (xGOT)
4.431.89
Total shots
2311
Shots on target
115
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
3517
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
188
Passes
84% (327/390)85% (349/413)
Long passes
38% (16/42)58% (37/64)
Passes in final third
73% (67/92)57% (48/84)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.800.78
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
818
Tackles
85% (11/13)20% (1/5)
Duels won
4533
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
62
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.894.43
Goals prevented
0.890.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Ache R. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Schmied J. ↓, Sebulonsen S. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Kainz F. ⚽,
  • 59', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
  • 67', Kainz F. ↓, Krauss T. ↑,
  • 67', Maina L. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
  • 67', Johannesson I. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
  • 73', Ache R. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 74', Vieira F. 🟨,
  • 77', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 77', Philippe R. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 78', Bulter M. 🟨,
  • 78', Pherai I. 🟨,
  • 79', Pherai I. 🟨,
  • 79', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
  • 83', Vieira F. 🟨,
  • 84', Polzin M. 🟨,
  • 90', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 90', Dompe J. ↓, Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 1, El Mala S. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
  • 90+9', 4 - 1, Kaminski J. ⚽, El Mala S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Köln
43.8%		Draw
26.3%		Hamburger SV
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 25.7% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 26% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
    •

    Köln - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.18 ↑
    (1.97)    		 3.7
    (3.7)    		 3.34 ↓
    (3.66)    		 2.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Köln - Hamburger SV?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Köln (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Köln (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Köln (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Hamburg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Köln (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Köln (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Köln will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Köln will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 21 - 95.5%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 1.
    • Köln is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hamburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Köln is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Thielmann J. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:0
    02.08.2024 Köln - Hamburger SV 1:2
    07.01.2023 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:0
    Latest results of Köln
    29.10.2025 Köln - Bayern Munich 1:4 ✺
    25.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Köln - Augsburg 1:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1 ✺
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen24134745:291643
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV24681026:35-926
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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