Hoffenheim vs Köln – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Köln
Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilSporTV, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.00
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
116
Passes
83% (420/504)76% (249/328)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.431.00
xG on target (xGOT)
2.540.93
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
116
Touches in opposition box
2621
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
615
Passes
83% (420/504)76% (249/328)
Long passes
41% (21/51)46% (33/72)
Passes in final third
73% (124/171)63% (57/90)
Crosses
29% (10/35)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.38
Throw-ins
3216
Fouls
156
Tackles
63% (10/16)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4853
Clearances
2744
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.932.54
Goals prevented
-0.072.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Toure B. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, El Mala S. , Martel E. (A),
  • 20', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 39', Burger W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Thielmann J. , Ache R. ,
  • 65', Avdullahu L. , Promel G. ,
  • 65', Lemperle T. , Bebou I. ,
  • 70', Asllani F. , Moerstedt M. ,
  • 71', Damar M. , Kramaric A. ,
  • 72', El Mala S. , Maina L. ,
  • 72', Heintz D. , Ozkacar C. ,
  • 84', Lund K. , Krauss T. ,
  • 84', Johannesson I. , Huseinbasic D. ,
  • 90', Bernardo , Prass A. ,
  • 90+5', Sebulonsen S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
44.4%
Draw
26.4%
Köln
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.3% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Hoffenheim - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2)
    3.83
    (3.88)
    3.39
    (3.47)
    -1.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Köln will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 49.8%83.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hoffenheim could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury) van den Berg R. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Bulter M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:22. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 2.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Köln were as follows:
    11.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:1
    16.09.2023 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:3
    22.04.2023 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:3
    30.10.2022 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    Latest results of Köln
    28.09.2025 Köln - Stuttgart 1:2
    20.09.2025 RB Leipzig - Köln 3:1
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga