Köln vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:2
21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.081.47
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
310
Passes
69% (184/265)81% (389/483)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.081.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.532.87
Total shots
918
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
29
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
815
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1733
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
40
Free kicks
126
Passes
69% (184/265)81% (389/483)
Long passes
28% (16/58)43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
61% (52/85)65% (87/134)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (10/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.86
Throw ins
3021
Fouls
612
Tackles
58% (11/19)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5353
Clearances
4038
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.871.53
Goals prevented
0.87-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Ache R. ⚽, El Mala S. (A),
  • 42', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Kabak O. ⚽, Hajdari A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 2, Kramaric A. ⚽,
  • 63', 2 - 2, El Mala S. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
  • 69', Sebulonsen S. ↓, Simpson-Pusey J. ↑,
  • 73', Burger W. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
  • 75', Coufal V. 🟨,
  • 78', Ozkacar C. 🟨,
  • 85', Ache R. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
  • 85', El Mala S. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 89', Kramaric A. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Krauss T. ↓, Johannesson I. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kaminski J. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
  • 90+2', Asllani F. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
  • 90+2', Toure B. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
  • 90+5', Moerstedt M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Köln
27.8%		Draw
25.6%		Hoffenheim
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 25.7% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.5% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
    •

    Köln - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.45 ↑
    (3.03)    		 3.7
    (3.7)    		 2.06 ↓
    (2.21)    		 4.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Köln - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 63.7% – 90.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Hoffenheim (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Hoffenheim (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hoffenheim (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hoffenheim (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 2.
    • Recent performances by Köln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hoffenheim will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Köln: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Hubers T. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Maina L. (Ribs Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Lemperle T. (Ankle Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    11.02.2024 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:1
    16.09.2023 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:3
    22.04.2023 Hoffenheim - Köln 1:3
    30.10.2022 Köln - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Köln
    14.02.2026 Stuttgart - Köln 3:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Köln - Mainz 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim 1:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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