Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | ESPN Premium |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 1.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
82% (312/382) | 85% (431/506) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.12 | 1.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.66 | 1.43 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (312/382) | 85% (431/506) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (27/59) | 63% (27/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (64/105) | 77% (112/146) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 1.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.43 | 0.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.57 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kaminski J. ⚽, Ache R. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Demirovic E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Hendriks R. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
- 62', Ache R. ↓, El Mala S. ↑,
- 62', Maina L. ↓, Huseinbasic D. ↑,
- 67', Schmied J. 🟨,
- 71', Fuhrich C. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
- 71', Tomas T. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 74', Johannesson I. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
- 74', Thielmann J. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 76', Krauss T. 🟨,
- 78', Jaquez L. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 2, Vagnoman J. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
- 85', Schmied J. ↓, Waldschmidt L. ↑,
- 86', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
- 86', Jaquez L. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
- 90+1', Bouanani B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Köln 41.4% | Draw 24.7% | Stuttgart 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Köln's performance.Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuttgart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Köln - Stuttgart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.91) |
4.1 ↑ (3.67) |
2.99 ↑ (2.3) |
0.5% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Köln - Stuttgart?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 20.4% – 61.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Köln (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Köln has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Köln: Bulter M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kilian L.
(Knee Injury)
van den Berg R.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F.
(Muscle Injury)
Silas
(Ankle Injury)
Undav D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stuttgart: Diehl J.
(Muscle Injury)
Stergiou L.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Köln won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Köln won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Stuttgart?
Köln has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Köln?
Stuttgart has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Stuttgart were as follows:
24.02.2024
Stuttgart
-
Köln
1:1
30.09.2023
Köln
-
Stuttgart
0:2
18.02.2023
Stuttgart
-
Köln
3:0
19.11.2022
Köln
-
Stuttgart
2:4
28.08.2022
Köln
-
Stuttgart
0:0
Latest results of Stuttgart
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga