Result
1:0
12/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 304 | 472 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 206 | 356 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 95 | 88 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 78 | 49 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Distance Covered (km) |
|---|
| 114 | 108 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Zrelak A. ⚽,
- 15', Godinho M. ↓, Krogstad F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Blanik D. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
- 56', Konstantyn J. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
- 67', Maenpaa N. ↓, Zurawski M. ↑,
- 67', Luis M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 72', Zrelak A. ↓, Eppel M. ↑,
- 73', Shikavka Y. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
- 73', Takac D. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
- 82', Mezghrani M. ↓, Prikryl T. ↑,
- 83', Matuszewski K. ↓, Borowski F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Warta Poznań
34.5% | Draw
32.7% | Korona Kielce
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.21) |
2.88 ↓
(3.1) |
2.86 ↓
(2.94) |
6.5%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Korona will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
- Warta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Korona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Korona have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Warta: Prikryl T.
(Red Card)
Przybylko K.
(Injury)
Szymonowicz D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y.
(Red Card)
Kwiecien B.
(Yellow Cards)
Petrov K.
(Injury)
Podgorski J.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Warta Poznań won against Korona Kielce?
Warta Poznań has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Warta Poznań?
Korona Kielce has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
06.10.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Warta Poznań
1:1
25.02.2023
Warta Poznań
-
Korona Kielce
5:1
Latest results of Warta Poznań
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
