Warta Poznań vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce
Result
1:0
12/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Musial T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.06
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
117
Shots on Goal
24
Shots off Goal
93
Free Kicks
1125
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
31
Throw-ins
3419
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Fouls
2010
Total Passes
304472
Completed Passes
206356
Tackles
1010
Attacks
9588
Dangerous Attacks
7849
Crosses Completed
33
Distance Covered (km)
114108

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zrelak A. ,
  • 15', Godinho M. , Krogstad F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Blanik D. , Trejo D. ,
  • 56', Konstantyn J. , Fornalczyk M. ,
  • 67', Maenpaa N. , Zurawski M. ,
  • 67', Luis M. , Szmyt K. ,
  • 72', Zrelak A. , Eppel M. ,
  • 73', Shikavka Y. , Dalmau A. ,
  • 73', Takac D. , Forsell P. ,
  • 82', Mezghrani M. , Prikryl T. ,
  • 83', Matuszewski K. , Borowski F. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
34.5%
Draw
32.7%
Korona Kielce
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.9% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.
  • Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.21)
    2.88
    (3.1)
    2.86
    (2.94)
    6.5%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Korona will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Warta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Korona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Korona have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Warta: Prikryl T. (Red Card) Przybylko K. (Injury) Szymonowicz D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Korona: Hofmayster Y. (Red Card) Kwiecien B. (Yellow Cards) Petrov K. (Injury) Podgorski J. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    06.10.2023 Korona Kielce - Warta Poznań 1:1
    25.02.2023 Warta Poznań - Korona Kielce 5:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Wisla Plock22004:136
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    14Piast Gliwice10010:1-10
    15GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    16Zaglebie10010:1-10
    17Korona Kielce20020:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1