Result
08/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
52.8% | Draw
24.9% | Korona Kielce
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78
(1.78) |
3.76 ↓
(3.89) |
4.21 ↓
(4.31) |
6.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
- Raków is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Korona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Raków won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Korona Kielce?
Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Raków Częstochowa?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Korona Kielce were as follows:
09.11.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:4
17.05.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
24.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
13.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
17.12.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 48:42 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 5 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Zaglebie | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 45 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | -2 | 41 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 37:60 | -23 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
