Korona Kielce vs Widzew Łódź: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Exbud Arena (Kielce).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 28
Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	0.90
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
78% (261/335)	72% (218/301)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.41	1.00
Total shots
18	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
19	11
Passes
78% (261/335)	72% (218/301)
Long passes
46% (25/54)	34% (20/58)
Passes in final third
53% (39/73)	39% (23/59)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.22
Fouls
11	19
Tackles
55% (12/22)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
63	49
Clearances Total
22	29
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.00	2.41
Goals prevented
0.00	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Shehu J. 🟨,
35', Trojak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Nono 🟨,
51', Krajewski M. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
54', Blanik D. 🟨,
62', Lukowski J. ↓, Cybulski K. ↑,
62', Sypek J. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
65', Shikavka Y. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
65', Konstantyn J. ↓, Matuszewski K. ↑,
68', Therkildsen P. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Sotiriou K. ⚽, Blanik D. (A),
73', 1 - 1, Shehu J. ⚽,
74', Pedro N. ↓, Nagamatsu S. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Dalmau A. ⚽, Trojak M. (A),
81', Remacle M. ↓, Strzeboński M. ↑,
82', Tupta L. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
82', Alvarez F. ↓, Nunes F. ↑,
90+3', Czyz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Korona Kielce
41.6%

Draw
28.9%

Widzew Łódź
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

28%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.07)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)	3.15 ↓ (3.5)	7.3% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Korona won 3.
Recent matches Korona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Widzew is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Korona will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Korona: Fornalczyk M. (Yellow Cards) Hofmayster Y. (Injury) Malarczyk P. (Inactive) Matuszewski K. (Calf Injury) Zator D. (Inactive)
There will not play in Widzew: Hanousek Mar. (Yellow Cards) Zyro M. (Yellow Cards)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Korona won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:16 (average 1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Korona won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Widzew Łódź?

Korona Kielce has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Korona Kielce?

Widzew Łódź has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź were as follows:

04.12.2024 Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź 1:0

04.10.2024 Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce 0:1

01.04.2024 Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce 3:1

22.09.2023 Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź 1:1

27.05.2023 Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce 0:3

Latest results of Korona Kielce

05.04.2025 Lech Poznań - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 1:3 ✺

16.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Widzew Łódź

04.04.2025 Widzew Łódź - Lechia Gdańsk 2:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź 0:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Widzew Łódź - GKS Katowice 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Widzew Łódź - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:1 ✺

28.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Korona Kielce - Widzew Łódź?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball