Sochi vs Krasnodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Sochi - Krasnodar
27/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sochi
18.1%
Draw
23.3%
Krasnodar
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 22.5% 61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 22.3% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Sochi - Krasnodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.31
    (6.04)
    4.13
    (4.36)
    1.64
    (1.6)
    4.2%
    (2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
    • Recent form of Sochi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Krasnodar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Krasnodar were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 5:1
    18.05.2024 Sochi - Krasnodar 2:3
    30.07.2023 Krasnodar - Sochi 2:0
    15.07.2023 Krasnodar - Sochi 2:2
    15.04.2023 Sochi - Krasnodar 0:2
    Latest results of Sochi
    17.08.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 5:1
    13.08.2025 Sochi - Krylya Sovetov 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    04.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Sochi 2:1
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    24.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 0:6
    17.08.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 5:1
    13.08.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 0:4
    10.08.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:1
    02.08.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit220005:16
    2Rubin Kazan210012:33
    3Orenburg210012:33
    4Akhmat Grozny200022:40


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krylya Sovetov210103:24
    2Krasnodar210015:23
    3Dynamo Moscow210013:63
    4Sochi201013:42


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala211002:15
    2Spartak Moscow210103:14
    3Pari NN210011:13
    4FK Rostov200020:30


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Akron Togliatti211003:25
    2CSKA Moscow210103:24
    3Lokomotiv Moscow210013:23
    4Baltika200021:40

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