Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 37
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 43 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Tartov G. 🟨,
- 31', Vitinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', Itu C. 🟨,
- 57', Yusein O. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
- 58', Rupanov B. ↓, Fourrier B. ↑,
- 59', Mitkov M. ↓, Marinov B. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
- 76', Ochayi V. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Keita I. ⚽,
- 78', Tsvetanov M. 🟨,
- 81', Keita I. 🟨,
- 89', Dost E. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
- 90+3', Ivanov G. ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 90+4', Chandarov A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Moran M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Krumovgrad
63.3% | Draw
20.9% | Septemvri Sofia
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Septemvri Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krumovgrad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Septemvri Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.99) |
4.41 ↑
(3.51) |
5.92 ↑
(3.46) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Krumovgrad (1.50) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -1 - Krumovgrad (2.04) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Septemvri Sofia (4.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Septemvri Sofia (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Septemvri Sofia (4.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Krumovgrad will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krumovgrad will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Krumovgrad (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Septemvri Sofia (votes: 5 - 38.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Krumovgrad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Krumovgrad is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Krumovgrad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krumovgrad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Krumovgrad won against Septemvri Sofia?
Krumovgrad has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Krumovgrad?
Septemvri Sofia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
24.02.2025
Septemvri Sofia
-
Krumovgrad
1:0
31.08.2024
Krumovgrad
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:0
23.11.2022
Krumovgrad
-
Septemvri Sofia
0:1
Latest results of Krumovgrad
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
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