Krumovgrad vs Septemvri Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia
Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
01
Corner Kicks
33
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1216
Throw-ins
4328
Fouls
1313
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Tartov G. 🟨,
  • 31', Vitinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', Itu C. 🟨,
  • 57', Yusein O. , Keita I. ,
  • 58', Rupanov B. , Fourrier B. ,
  • 59', Mitkov M. , Marinov B. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. ,
  • 76', Ochayi V. , Amade A. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Keita I. ,
  • 78', Tsvetanov M. 🟨,
  • 81', Keita I. 🟨,
  • 89', Dost E. , Alonso I. ,
  • 90+3', Ivanov G. , Nikolov V. ,
  • 90+4', Chandarov A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 2, Moran M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Krumovgrad
63.3%
Draw
20.9%
Septemvri Sofia
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 26.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 26.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.
  • Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Septemvri Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krumovgrad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Septemvri Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.99)
    4.41
    (3.51)
    5.92
    (3.46)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: Krumovgrad will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krumovgrad will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Krumovgrad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Krumovgrad is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Krumovgrad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krumovgrad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Krumovgrad 1:0
    31.08.2024 Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia 2:0
    23.11.2022 Krumovgrad - Septemvri Sofia 0:1
    Latest results of Krumovgrad
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets22006:066
    2Levski Sofia11005:053
    3Lok. Plovdiv11001:013
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia11001:013
    5Slavia Sofia10102:201
    6Botev Plovdiv10101:101
    7Cherno More10101:101
    8CSKA Sofia10101:101
    9Lok. Sofia10101:101
    10Beroe10100:001
    11Spartak Varna10100:001
    12Botev Vratsa20112:3-11
    13Dobrudzha10010:1-10
    14Arda10010:1-10
    15Montana10010:5-50
    16Septemvri Sofia10010:5-50

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