Lokomotiv Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
47
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
813
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
46
Corner kicks
45
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1111
Throw ins
2117
Fouls
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Yankov D. , Delev S. (A),
  • 37', Daskalov R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Ozornwafor V. , Ivkic D. (A),
  • 56', Neychev N. 🟨,
  • 58', Schouten R. , Onasci K. ,
  • 62', Taoui A. , Minchev G. ,
  • 62', Diego Raposo , Dost E. ,
  • 64', Ribeiro E. , Stojanovic S. ,
  • 64', Stamatov M. , Wade S. ,
  • 73', Caue Caruzo , Gerov E. ,
  • 76', Fourrier B. 🟨,
  • 82', Stanoev K. , Acka D. ,
  • 84', Baurenski Y. , Ivanov G. ,
  • 84', Abou A. , Georgiev P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Sofia
42.2%
Draw
28%
Septemvri Sofia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 23.7% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 23.3% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Sofia's form might have worsened.
  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Sofia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.55)
    3.33
    (3.92)
    3.16
    (5.72)
    6.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Septemvri Sofia: 50.8%88.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Septemvri Sofia (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Septemvri Sofia (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia (votes: 1 - 25%). Septemvri Sofia (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Septemvri Sofia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Lokomotiv Sofia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia 3:0
    29.08.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 1:0
    20.05.2025 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 0:2
    08.12.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia 1:2
    12.10.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia 2:3
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia31234467:234473
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia31195752:322062
    3Ludogorets31179558:223660
    4CSKA Sofia31168744:261856

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