Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Sukhoy Vasilievich A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/401) | 81% (330/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/401) | 81% (330/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/108) | 70% (101/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', Savelyev M. ↓, Saharkhizan S. ↑,
- 65', Shitov V. ↓, Tsypchenko D. ↑,
- 74', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. (Pen),
- 87', 2 - 0, Tsypchenko D. ⚽, Zinkovskiy A. (A),
- 88', Mansilla B. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 88', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 89', Rasskazov N. ↓, Ivanisenia D. ↑,
- 89', Babkin S. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
- 90+3', Sergeev I. ↓, Rahmanovic A. ↑,
- 90+3', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
52.4% | Draw
24.8% | Orenburg
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.06) |
3.86 ↑
(3.77) |
4.19 ↑
(3.77) |
4.6%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Krylya Sovetov (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Krylya Sovetov will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Orenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Krylya Sovetov is a favorite.
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Bijl G.
(Yellow Cards)
Lomaev I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Vityugov M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Marin J.
(Yellow Cards)
Tataev A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Ezhov R.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Krylya Sovetov won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Krylya Sovetov won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Orenburg?
Krylya Sovetov has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Krylya Sovetov?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg were as follows:
20.10.2024
Orenburg
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:2
04.05.2024
Orenburg
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
28.10.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Orenburg
1:1
02.04.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Orenburg
1:1
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
