Result
0:0
07/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (294/387) | 71% (204/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (294/387) | 71% (204/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (28/62) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (96/146) | 64% (63/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Edlund C. 🟨,
- 63', Hafstad D. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 64', Elle Essouma F. 🟨,
- 69', Edlund C. ↓, Toivonen A. ↑,
- 73', Nyholm J. 🟨,
- 74', Olufunwa O. 🟨,
- 76', Olufunwa O. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
- 79', Seck A. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 79', Sumusalo M. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 87', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑,
- 90+2', Glasson M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
28.1% | Draw
24.4% | Gnistan
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
KTP Kotka - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(3.24) |
3.88 ↑
(3.59) |
2.01 ↓
(2.1) |
5.2%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - Gnistan?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Gnistan will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. KTP (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gnistan (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - KTP (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 2.
- KTP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Gnistan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Ojala J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KTP: Manga T.
(Inactive)
Sumusalo M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, KTP won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 2.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Gnistan?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against KTP Kotka?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - Gnistan were as follows:
14.06.2025
Gnistan
-
KTP Kotka
2:1
01.02.2025
Gnistan
-
KTP Kotka
3:0
31.05.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Gnistan
2:1
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
