Result
1:4
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/313) | 84% (361/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 3.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (228/313) | 84% (361/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (65/118) | 72% (91/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.75 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Weckstrom L. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Michel B. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Lyons-Foster B. ⚽,
- 37', Simojoki K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Simojoki K. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Pukki T. ⚽, Michel B. (A),
- 56', Lingman L. 🟨,
- 59', Lahdensuo T. 🟨,
- 61', Hostikka S. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 61', Lingman L. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 67', Pukki T. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
- 72', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
- 72', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
- 72', Glasson M. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 73', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 4, Kallinen J. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 80', Tahmbi N. ↓, Kauko J. ↑,
- 80', Weckstrom L. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 83', Michel B. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
16.2% | Draw
19.4% | HJK
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+2%)
KTP Kotka - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.83 ↓
(6.04) |
4.98 ↑
(4.94) |
1.5 ↑
(1.46) |
4%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - HJK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0.
- Recent form of KTP has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- HJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, KTP has had a series of away games.
- Recently, HJK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, HJK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Moller L.
(Inactive)
Ost J.
(Inactive)
Ring A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in KTP: Diakite M.
(Injury)
Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in HJK: Pukki T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, KTP won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.7:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against HJK?
KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against KTP Kotka?
HJK has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - HJK were as follows:
17.05.2025
HJK
-
KTP Kotka
4:1
18.02.2025
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
0:4
11.06.2023
HJK
-
KTP Kotka
1:0
09.05.2023
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
3:3
04.03.2023
KTP Kotka
-
HJK
1:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
