Result
3:2
13/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (267/369) | 71% (249/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (267/369) | 71% (249/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (18/64) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (84/127) | 52% (62/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Pitkanen M. ↓, Jatta M. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Glasson M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Rennicks J. ⚽, Lehtonen J. (A),
- 58', 2 - 1, Cassama A. ⚽,
- 62', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑,
- 62', Paananen A. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
- 66', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
- 74', Rennicks J. ↓, Harrison S. ↑,
- 74', Kaukua T. ↓, Mendolin I. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Harrison S. ⚽, Jokelainen N. (A),
- 77', Forsell P. ↓, Toivonen A. ↑,
- 77', Edlund C. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
- 77', Sumusalo M. ↓, Makela J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 2, Seck A. ⚽, Makela J. (A),
Chances of winning
Oulu
53.2% | Draw
23.9% | KTP Kotka
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KTP Kotka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oulu - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.24) |
3.97 ↑
(3.61) |
4.17 ↑
(2.85) |
5.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oulu - KTP Kotka?
Users Predictions:
Oulu will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oulu will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 5.
- In recent matches, Oulu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- KTP has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KTP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Oulu is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Inactive)
Harrison S.
(Inactive)
Kemppainen O.
(Inactive)
Ndione M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oulu: Kaukua T.
(Injury)
Salmensuu O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against KTP Kotka?
Oulu has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against Oulu?
KTP Kotka has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oulu - KTP Kotka were as follows:
02.05.2025
KTP Kotka
-
Oulu
1:3
29.09.2023
Oulu
-
KTP Kotka
2:0
22.07.2023
Oulu
-
KTP Kotka
3:1
05.07.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Oulu
1:2
05.04.2023
KTP Kotka
-
Oulu
0:2
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
