Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 2.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (309/423) | 62% (152/245) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 3.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (309/423) | 62% (152/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (30/69) | 35% (27/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (118/190) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (10/40) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 65 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Helen O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Toivonen A. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
- 46', Paavola M. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Kauko J. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Muzaci A. (Pen),
- 58', Seck A. 🟨,
- 61', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,
- 61', Konkkola M. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
- 66', Bostrom A. 🟨,
- 67', Sumusalo M. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 72', Tahmbi N. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Tahmbi N. ⚽, Forsell P. (A),
- 79', Lahdensuo T. 🟨,
- 80', Tahmbi N. ↓, Akpudje J. ↑,
- 82', Bostrom A. (Pen),
- 83', Akpudje J. 🟨,
- 84', Linner O. 🟨,
- 84', Kauko J. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 3, Bostrom A. (Pen),
- 88', Bostrom A. ↓, Kawakita E. ↑,
- 89', Linner A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Helen O. ↓, Riski Ri. ↑,
- 90+4', Haggstrom O. ↓, Benga S. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
50.8% | Draw
23.4% | TPS
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KTP Kotka's performance.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KTP Kotka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KTP Kotka - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.16) |
3.92 ↑
(3.66) |
3.68 ↑
(2.9) |
6.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - TPS?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 6 - 75%). TPS will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KTP: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KTP (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- KTP could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in KTP: Tarvonen A.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, KTP won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against TPS?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against KTP Kotka?
TPS has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - TPS were as follows:
23.10.2025
TPS
-
KTP Kotka
3:0
19.10.2024
KTP Kotka
-
TPS
1:1
17.07.2024
KTP Kotka
-
TPS
1:2
18.05.2024
TPS
-
KTP Kotka
1:4
08.10.2022
KTP Kotka
-
TPS
0:1
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 56:31 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Ilves | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 62:39 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | SJK | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 62:46 | 16 | 54 |
| 5 | HJK | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 71:45 | 26 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 44:59 | -15 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
