Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/297) | 82% (353/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/297) | 82% (353/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 69% (86/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.20 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', Andersson E. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Tsirigotis T. ⚽, Turkki E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Cassubie Y. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Konkkola M. ⚽, Tsirigotis T. (A),
- 58', Lehtonen J. ↓, Yapi R. ↑,
- 58', Heikkinen D. ↓, Montiel C. ↑,
- 58', Martim Augusto ↓, Ojanen J. ↑,
- 64', Yapi R. 🟨,
- 65', Montiel C. 🟨,
- 65', Ikonen L. 🟨,
- 67', Ikonen L. ↓, Juvanteny P. ↑,
- 72', Andersson E. ↓, Koskinen O. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Sarr M. ⚽,
- 75', Haggstrom O. ↓, Karkulowski T. ↑,
- 75', Konkkola M. ↓, Vauhkonen E. ↑,
- 76', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
- 86', Sans R. 🟨,
- 88', Turkki E. 🟨,
- 89', Turkki E. ↓, Sihvonen A. ↑,
- 90+1', Neemias 🟨,
- 90+5', Karkulowski T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
TPS
29.6% | Draw
27.1% | Lahti
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
TPS - Lahti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.22) |
3.51 ↑
(3.43) |
2.18 ↑
(2.15) |
5.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for TPS - Lahti?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lahti will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - TPS (5.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - TPS (3.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - TPS (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - TPS (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - TPS (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Lahti has had a series of away games.
- Lahti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:38. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Lahti?
TPS has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lahti won against TPS?
Lahti has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Lahti were as follows:
31.01.2026
Lahti
-
TPS
5:1
18.10.2025
TPS
-
Lahti
3:3
14.07.2025
Lahti
-
TPS
2:2
21.05.2025
TPS
-
Lahti
2:2
29.03.2025
TPS
-
Lahti
3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
