Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (240/318) | 73% (242/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (240/318) | 73% (242/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 22% (11/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/126) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Paavola M. (A),
- 22', 0 - 2, Rangel (Pen),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Fall M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Dekker T. ↓, Daoussi Y. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Fall M. ⚽, El Ouatki Y. (A),
- 51', Pedro Justiniano 🟨,
- 57', 3 - 2, El Ouatki Y. ⚽,
- 61', Diakite M. ↓, Linner O. ↑,
- 64', El Ouatki Y. 🟨,
- 66', Rangel ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 66', Makela J. ↓, Kauko J. ↑,
- 67', El Ouatki Y. ↓, Raisanen A. ↑,
- 75', Fleuriau N. ↓, Mohammed T. ↑,
- 78', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,
- 79', Tanaka A. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑,
- 83', Aspegren F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wilson W. ↓, Ronnberg V. ↑,
- 90+6', Akpudje J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
56.4% | Draw
22.5% | KTP Kotka
21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VPS Vaasa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67
(1.67) |
4.15 ↓
(4.2) |
4.44 ↑
(3.95) |
6.4%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). KTP will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 47.1% – 83.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KTP Kotka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1.
- Recent performances by VPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- KTP is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, VPS is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in VPS: Smyth L.
(Inactive)
Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in KTP: Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, VPS won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against KTP Kotka?
VPS Vaasa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against VPS Vaasa?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka were as follows:
11.04.2025
KTP Kotka
-
VPS Vaasa
2:2
25.08.2023
VPS Vaasa
-
KTP Kotka
2:1
03.06.2023
KTP Kotka
-
VPS Vaasa
1:0
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
