Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 71% (149/209) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 71% (149/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (56/74) | 57% (43/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ahiabu P. ⚽, Haukioja M. (A),
- 19', Daoussi Y. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Jakonen O. ⚽, Cicale A. (A),
- 44', Toivio J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Forsell P. ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 46', Daoussi Y. ↓, Reid T. ↑,
- 61', Tahmbi N. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Paavola M. ⚽, Seck A. (A),
- 63', Ronnberg V. ↓, El Ouatki Y. ↑,
- 71', Jakonen O. ↓, Fleuriau N. ↑,
- 71', Cicale A. ↓, Wilson W. ↑,
- 78', Kauko J. ↓, Akpudje J. ↑,
- 81', Paavola M. 🟨,
- 86', Seck A. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
- 86', Paavola M. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 88', Reid T. 🟨,
- 90', Sumusalo M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+4', Fleuriau N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
VPS Vaasa
64.5% | Draw
20.8% | KTP Kotka
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VPS Vaasa's performance.KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KTP Kotka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VPS Vaasa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KTP Kotka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.7) |
5.29 ↑
(4.39) |
7.9 ↑
(4.19) |
-7%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. VPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VPS won 2.
- In recent matches, VPS has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KTP has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, VPS is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in VPS: Vahtera J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, VPS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, VPS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against KTP Kotka?
VPS Vaasa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against VPS Vaasa?
KTP Kotka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka were as follows:
22.08.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
KTP Kotka
3:2
11.04.2025
KTP Kotka
-
VPS Vaasa
2:2
25.08.2023
VPS Vaasa
-
KTP Kotka
2:1
03.06.2023
KTP Kotka
-
VPS Vaasa
1:0
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | KuPS | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | HJK | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | SJK | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50:37 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 36:44 | -8 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
