Result
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
31.7% | Draw
28.6% | VPS Vaasa
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for IFK Mariehamn have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(2.97) |
3.27 ↑
(3.23) |
2.37 ↓
(2.4) |
6.7%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
- Mariehamn is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- VPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mariehamn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against VPS Vaasa?
IFK Mariehamn has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has VPS Vaasa won against IFK Mariehamn?
VPS Vaasa has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa were as follows:
21.09.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
2:1
01.08.2025
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:1
14.06.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
1:5
28.07.2024
VPS Vaasa
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
12.06.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
VPS Vaasa
0:0
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Latest results of VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | HJK | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | TPS | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lahti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | VPS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | SJK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Jaro | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 11 | Ilves | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
