Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kapllani D. ⚽,
- 24', Abiodoun T. 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 1, Bespallov K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kastrioti
52.7% | Draw
25.3% | Kukësi
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Kastrioti - Kukësi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.57) |
3.57 ↓
(3.85) |
4.12 ↓
(4.89) |
10.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Kukësi is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 4.
- Kastrioti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kukësi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kastrioti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kastrioti is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kastrioti won against Kukësi?
Kastrioti has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kukësi won against Kastrioti?
Kukësi has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kastrioti - Kukësi were as follows:
03.11.2025
Kukësi
-
Kastrioti
0:1
30.03.2025
Kastrioti
-
Kukësi
2:0
19.01.2025
Kastrioti
-
Kukësi
1:0
20.10.2024
Kukësi
-
Kastrioti
0:1
11.02.2023
Kukësi
-
Kastrioti
1:0
Latest results of Kastrioti
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 46:23 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | Laci | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Burreli | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 31 |
| 7 | Besa Kavaje | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Lushnja | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Kukesi | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:39 | -20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
