Kairat vs KuPS Kuopio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Kairat - KuPS Kuopio
Result
3:0
29/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
132
Yellow Cards
51
Red Cards
10
Total shots
212
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
60
Corner Kicks
132
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
612
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
118
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 7', Jorginho 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. , Mata L. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Jorginho , Tapalov E. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 0, Gromyko V. , Satpaev D. (A),
  • 45', Arifi D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Zaria G. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Arad O. 🟨,
  • 66', Edmilson Santos , Ricardinho ,
  • 66', Satpaev D. , Mrynskiy A. ,
  • 67', Toure M. , Sadiku A. ,
  • 67', Arifi D. , Voutilainen J. ,
  • 73', Gromyko V. 🟨,
  • 74', Jorginho , Bagdat R. ,
  • 76', Hamalainen N. , Armah B. ,
  • 81', Gromyko V. , Sadybekov A. ,
  • 84', Pennanen P. , Heinonen A. ,
  • 84', Luyeye-Lutumba J. , Pasanen S. ,
  • 90+6', Zarutskiy A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Mrynskiy A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kairat
70.8%
Draw
18%
KuPS Kuopio
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 23.6% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 26.3% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.
  • KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KuPS Kuopio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KuPS Kuopio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kairat - KuPS Kuopio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.68)
    5.5
    (4.03)
    8.94
    (4.86)
    3.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kairat - KuPS Kuopio?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Kairat (votes: 7 - 63.6%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Kairat (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kairat will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.21%92.29%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • KuPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kairat is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kairat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kairat - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    Latest results of Kairat
    26.07.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Kairat 1:3
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 Kairat - Kaisar 1:1
    Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
    22.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Kairat 2:0
    19.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio 1:1
    04.07.2025 Oulu - KuPS Kuopio 2:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV0 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14