Result
1:0
26/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9 |
 Australia | Paramount+, Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 16 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 3, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 8 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 6 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 9, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 81% (329/404) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (427/508) | 81% (329/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (136/182) | 70% (62/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Puukko A. ↓, Tikkanen R. ↑,
- 29', Milic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Ismaheel T. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
- 60', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 60', Walemark P. ↓, Gholizadeh A. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Rodriguez P. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
- 70', Milic A. ↓, Douglas A. ↑,
- 75', Rodriguez P. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
- 79', Tikkanen R. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 84', Hakans D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
79.4% | Draw
13.3% | KuPS Kuopio
7.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.25) |
6.98 ↑
(6.02) |
12.97 ↑
(11.7) |
6%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 67.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Lech (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Lech (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - KuPS (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lech Poznań will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 9 - 90%). KuPS (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-0. Second leg.
- Lech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- KuPS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Lech has had a series of away games.
- Recently, KuPS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Jagiello F.
(Injury)
Murawski R.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in KuPS: Heinonen A.
(Inactive)
Heiskanen S.
(Inactive)
Kabuye C.
(Inactive)
Luyeye-Lutumba J.
(Red Card)
Ward K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against KuPS Kuopio?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against Lech Poznań?
KuPS Kuopio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - KuPS Kuopio were as follows:
19.02.2026
KuPS Kuopio
-
Lech Poznań
0:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
