Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen
Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
  • Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.921.13
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1811
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
95
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
95
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Free Kicks
913
Offsides
04
Fouls
139
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
1821
Touches in the Opposition Box
3223
Passes
79% (367/465)75% (302/401)
Passes in the final third
63% (88/139)63% (62/98)
Crosses
33% (7/21)38% (5/13)
Tackles
56% (14/25)62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
3036
Interceptions
815

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Raman B. , Antonio B. (A),
  • 43', Touba A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', David P. 🟨,
  • 63', Fuseini M. , Ait El Hadj A. ,
  • 64', Antonio B. , Foulon D. ,
  • 75', Storm N. , Mrabti K. ,
  • 76', Schoofs R. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 77', Mac Allister K. , Giger M. ,
  • 77', Rasmussen M. , Boufal S. ,
  • 80', Boufal S. 🟨,
  • 82', Raman B. , Ngoy J. ,
  • 85', Machida K. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 86', Sykes R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Sadiki N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
59.2%
Draw
22.6%
KV Mechelen
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 22.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 21.8% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.63)
    4.18
    (4.18)
    5.24
    (5.01)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen?
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.81%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union SG won 2.
    • Recent matches Union SG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mechelen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mechelen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Union SG is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Injury) Niang O. (Yellow Cards) Van De Perre K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Hamstring Injury) Van den Eynden B. (Muscle Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Union SG won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:25 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    02.11.2024 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    17.12.2023 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 1:0
    19.08.2023 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 4:0
    19.03.2023 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 2:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    07.02.2025 KV Mechelen - Gent 3:3
    26.01.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 4:1
    18.01.2025 KV Mechelen - Genk 1:2
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Liege21103:124
    2KV Mechelen21103:214
    3Anderlecht11005:233
    4St. Truiden11003:123
    5Club Brugge KV21013:303
    6Westerlo21015:6-13
    7Gent21012:3-13
    8Dender20201:102
    9Leuven10102:201
    10Charleroi10102:201
    11Antwerp10101:101
    12Royale Union SG10101:101
    13Cercle Brugge KSV10100:001
    14Waregem20112:4-21
    15Genk10011:2-10
    16RAAL La Louviere20020:3-30

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )