KV Mechelen vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League
Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 14
  • Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.44
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
81% (314/386)84% (401/475)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.90
Total shots
719
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1438
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
129
Passes
81% (314/386)84% (401/475)
Long passes
45% (22/49)68% (23/34)
Passes in final third
69% (50/72)75% (122/162)
Crosses
19% (3/16)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.79
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
912
Tackles
69% (9/13)70% (19/27)
Duels won
4361
Clearances
2014
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.900.99
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Koudou T. 🟨,
  • 6', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Niang O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Marsa J. 🟨,
  • 59', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, David P. ↑,
  • 68', Khalaili A. 🟨,
  • 75', Rodriguez K. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
  • 75', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
  • 75', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
  • 83', Raman B. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Florucz R. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
  • 86', Zorgane A. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
  • 86', Schoofs R. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
  • 88', Marsa J. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, van Brederode M. (Pen),
  • 90+6', van Brederode M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KV Mechelen
16.6%		Draw
21.5%		Saint-Gilloise
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 22.9% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 21.8% 60.8%

KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 5.66 ↑
(4.85)		 4.45 ↑
(4.1)		 1.55 ↓
(1.62)		 4.9%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Union SG will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 46.1% – 91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knock) Kiki (Surgery) Konate M. (Injury) Mrabti K. (Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 0:1
    02.11.2024 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    17.12.2023 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 1:0
    19.08.2023 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 4:0
    19.03.2023 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 2:1
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    01.11.2025 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 3:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 KV Mechelen - Lierse 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Dender EH - KV Mechelen 1:3 ✺
    04.10.2025 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    04.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise 3:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Zulte Waregem - Saint-Gilloise 1:4 ✺
    29.10.2025 Tubize - Saint-Gilloise 0:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Sint-Truidense 2:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Inter Milan 0:4 ✺
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG17114232:102237
    2St. Truiden17103426:20633
    3Club Brugge KV17102524:17732
    4Anderlecht1794423:17631
    5KV Mechelen1776421:18327
    6St. Liege1773716:20-424
    7Gent1765625:25023
    8Genk1765621:23-223
    9Waregem1757523:23022
    10Antwerp1755718:18020
    11Westerlo1755725:26-120
    12Charleroi1754818:22-419
    13RAAL La Louviere1746712:17-518
    14Leuven1744918:27-916
    15Cercle Brugge KSV1727820:26-613
    16Dender1726914:27-1312

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          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

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