Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.92 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
18 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 13 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
32 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
79% (367/465) | 75% (302/401) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
63% (88/139) | 63% (62/98) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (7/21) | 38% (5/13) |
Tackles |
---|
56% (14/25) | 62% (13/21) |
Clearances Total |
---|
30 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Raman B. ⚽, Antonio B. (A),
- 43', Touba A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', David P. 🟨,
- 63', Fuseini M. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
- 64', Antonio B. ↓, Foulon D. ↑,
- 75', Storm N. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
- 76', Schoofs R. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 77', Mac Allister K. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
- 77', Rasmussen M. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
- 80', Boufal S. 🟨,
- 82', Raman B. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
- 85', Machida K. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 86', Sykes R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sadiki N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise 59.2% | Draw 22.6% | KV Mechelen 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.63) |
4.18 ↑ (4.18) |
5.24 ↑ (5.01) |
5.4% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Union SG won 2.
- Recent matches Union SG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mechelen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Mechelen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Union SG is a favorite.
- There will not play in Union SG: Castro-Montes A.
(Injury)
Niang O.
(Yellow Cards)
Van De Perre K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mechelen: Van Cleemput J.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Foulon D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Van den Eynden B.
(Muscle Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Hernia)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Union SG won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:25 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against KV Mechelen?
Saint-Gilloise has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Saint-Gilloise?
KV Mechelen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen were as follows:
02.11.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
17.12.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
19.08.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
4:0
19.03.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St. Liege | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
2 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
4 | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
6 | Westerlo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
7 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | Dender | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Leuven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Charleroi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Antwerp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Waregem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )