Result
0:1
12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/440) | 77% (255/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/440) | 77% (255/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/67) | 59% (29/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (59/101) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Sykes R. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 65', Rodriguez K. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
- 71', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
- 74', St. Jago T. ↓, Boersma B. ↑,
- 76', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
- 76', Biondic M. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 80', Raman B. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
- 81', Servais M. 🟨,
- 88', Servais M. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
- 88', Koudou T. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
- 90+1', Khalaili A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Florucz R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Schoofs R. ↓, Pavlic I. ↑,
- 90+6', Pavlic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
16.6% | Draw
25.6% | Saint-Gilloise
57.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.67 ↑
(4.74) |
3.71 ↓
(3.87) |
1.64 ↓
(1.73) |
5.5%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Union SG will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Union SG (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Union SG (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.
- Mechelen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mechelen: Golic L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
David P.
(Surgery)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Guilherme Smith
(Injury)
Van De Perre K.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Saint-Gilloise?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against KV Mechelen?
Saint-Gilloise has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
17.01.2026
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
09.11.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
16.02.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
02.11.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
17.12.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
