Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | DAZN |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (233/328) | 77% (359/466) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (233/328) | 77% (359/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (12/47) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (49/95) | 66% (60/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Kireev M. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, David P. ⚽, Van De Perre K. (A),
- 45+1', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Struyf I. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
- 57', Barry M. T. ↓, Leysen F. ↑,
- 57', Zorgane A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 69', David P. ↓, Fuseini M. ↑,
- 70', Florucz R. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 70', Konate M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 77', Sykes R. 🟨,
- 78', Kireev M. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 78', Lauberbach L. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 84', Halhal R. 🟨,
- 87', Rodriguez K. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
- 90+2', Scherpen K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Khalaili A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise
71.8% | Draw
18.1% | KV Mechelen
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.31) |
5.3 ↑
(5.07) |
9.23 ↑
(8.62) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mechelen (7.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Mechelen (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Mechelen (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 1.
- Union SG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mechelen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Union SG: Burgess C.
(Red Card)
Niang O.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knee Injury)
Diouf G.
(Yellow Cards)
Marsa J.
(Muscle Injury)
Raman B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mechelen: Salifou D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against KV Mechelen?
Saint-Gilloise has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Saint-Gilloise?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen were as follows:
09.11.2025
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
16.02.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
02.11.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
17.12.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
19.08.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
4:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 37:12 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 31:23 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:25 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | Gent | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 18:25 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24:22 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Charleroi | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Waregem | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Genk | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 24 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Leuven | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 20 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 20 |
| 16 | Dender | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
