Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga
Result
3:3
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.572.31
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (491/576)69% (216/313)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.572.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.292.77
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
4212
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
88
Passes
85% (491/576)69% (216/313)
Long passes
51% (32/63)34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
81% (137/170)55% (57/104)
Crosses
23% (5/22)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.08
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
88
Tackles
78% (7/9)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
1621
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
2.773.29
Goals prevented
-0.230.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Yonemoto T. , Fukuda S. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 1, Kakita Y. ,
  • 38', Yamada Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Marco Tulio , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 46', Matsuda T. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 46', Kakita Y. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Nagasawa S. , Hara T. (A),
  • 65', Yonemoto T. , Patrick William ,
  • 65', Fukuda S. , Sato K. ,
  • 68', Miyamoto Y. , Asada S. ,
  • 74', 3 - 2, Harada W. ,
  • 81', Yamada Y. , Baba S. ,
  • 81', Watai M. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Kawasaki S. , Okugawa M. (A),
  • 85', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 90', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
47.9%
Draw
28.4%
Kyoto Sanga
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 26.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.1)
    3.3
    (3.58)
    3.98
    (3.45)
    5.8%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
    • Kashiwa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury) Tezuka K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    26.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 2:2
    25.02.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 1:1
    06.08.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League