Result
3:3
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.57 | 2.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (491/576) | 69% (216/313) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.57 | 2.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.29 | 2.77 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
42 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
85% (491/576) | 69% (216/313) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (32/63) | 34% (19/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (137/170) | 55% (57/104) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 63% (5/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.28 | 1.08 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.77 | 3.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.23 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Yonemoto T. ⚽, Fukuda S. (A),
- 31', 2 - 1, Kakita Y. ⚽,
- 38', Yamada Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Marco Tulio ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 46', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 46', Kakita Y. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 2, Nagasawa S. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 65', Yonemoto T. ↓, Patrick William ↑,
- 65', Fukuda S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 68', Miyamoto Y. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 2, Harada W. ⚽,
- 81', Yamada Y. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
- 81', Watai M. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Kawasaki S. ⚽, Okugawa M. (A),
- 85', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 90', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 47.9% | Draw 28.4% | Kyoto Sanga 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.1) |
3.3 ↓ (3.58) |
3.98 ↑ (3.45) |
5.8% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
- Kashiwa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Inactive)
Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Kyoto Sanga?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
02.04.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
26.06.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:2
25.02.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:1
06.08.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League