Result
0:1
20/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Milojko G. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Trufanov Y. ⚽, Chunchukov T. (A),
- 44', Zharynbetov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zhangylyshbay T. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
- 46', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
- 47', Rafael Sabino 🟨,
- 52', Yudenkov R. 🟨,
- 64', Abubakar R. 🟨,
- 64', Gorshunov E. ↓, Valgushev G. ↑,
- 64', Rafael Sabino ↓, Ulshin A. ↑,
- 72', Abubakar R. ↓, Dzhumatov R. ↑,
- 73', Trufanov Y. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
- 74', Vasiljev A. ↓, Eleukin M. ↑,
- 77', Ulshin A. 🟨,
- 77', Sovpel V. 🟨,
- 80', Buranchiev A. 🟨,
- 82', Kybyray Y. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
- 82', Chunchukov T. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
- 83', Afanasenko V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kyzylzhar
48.3% | Draw
28.5% | Atyrau
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzylzhar's form might have worsened.Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+17.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atyrau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kyzylzhar - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.48) |
3.21 ↓
(4.42) |
3.95 ↓
(6.22) |
9.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kyzylzhar - Atyrau?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyzylzhar: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyzylzhar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 3.
- Kyzylzhar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atyrau has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kyzylzhar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kyzylzhar is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyzylzhar won against Atyrau?
Kyzylzhar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Kyzylzhar?
Atyrau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyzylzhar - Atyrau were as follows:
19.04.2025
Atyrau
-
Kyzylzhar
1:2
20.10.2024
Kyzylzhar
-
Atyrau
3:2
27.04.2024
Atyrau
-
Kyzylzhar
2:0
16.09.2023
Atyrau
-
Kyzylzhar
0:0
08.04.2023
Kyzylzhar
-
Atyrau
1:0
Latest results of Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tobol | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 37:18 | 19 | 44 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 45:16 | 29 | 43 |
| 3 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 29:17 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Turan | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15:41 | -26 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 11:30 | -19 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
