Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Abbas A. ⚽, Solodovnicov N. (A),
- 33', Noyok O. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Valgushev G. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
- 46', Sarsenbay E. ↓, Khadzhiev A. ↑,
- 57', Valiullin R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 57', Vasiljev A. ↓, Eleukin M. ↑,
- 64', Solodovnicov N. ↓, Bakirov S. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Kozlenko A. ⚽, Eleukin M. (A),
- 73', Khadzhiev A. 🟨,
- 78', Rafael Sabino ↓, Miroshnichenko D. ↑,
- 85', Orynbasar R. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 2, Zhangylyshbay T. (Pen),
- 89', Gorshunov E. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Turan Turkistan 22.7% | Draw 27.5% | Kyzylzhar 49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Turkistan's form might have worsened.Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyzylzhar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Turan Turkistan - Kyzylzhar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.07 ↑ (3.22) |
3.36 ↑ (3.22) |
1.86 ↓ (2.26) |
8.2% (6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Turan Turkistan - Kyzylzhar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyzylzhar: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyzylzhar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 3.
- Turan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Kyzylzhar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Turan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kyzylzhar is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Turan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Turan Turkistan won against Kyzylzhar?
Turan Turkistan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyzylzhar won against Turan Turkistan?
Kyzylzhar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Turan Turkistan - Kyzylzhar were as follows:
05.04.2025
Kyzylzhar
-
Turan Turkistan
2:3
22.09.2024
Turan Turkistan
-
Kyzylzhar
1:0
04.05.2024
Kyzylzhar
-
Turan Turkistan
0:1
27.08.2022
Kyzylzhar
-
Turan Turkistan
3:1
Latest results of Turan Turkistan
Latest results of Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52:18 | 34 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Tobol ✔ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:23 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Zhenis | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Okzhetpes | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Ulytau | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 19:42 | -23 | 21 |
| 13 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Turan | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22:54 | -32 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tobol is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )