Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
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| 2 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 2 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Astanov S. 🟨,
- 30', Galabov P. 🟨,
- 34', Gomis H. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Slambekov D. (Own goal),
- 36', Antic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Leo Natel ↓, Everton ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Beugre E. ⚽,
- 64', Muldinov T. ↓, Adil A. ↑,
- 71', Amir Z. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 75', Beugre E. ↓, Baoken S. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Astanov E. ⚽,
- 80', Abagna D. ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
- 81', Astanov E. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
- 81', Gomis H. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
- 81', Slambekov D. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
- 87', Antic N. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
- 89', Mitkov D. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90', Mitkov D. 🟥,
- 90+5', Adil A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kyzylzhar 24.8% | Draw 29% | Ordabasy 46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzylzhar's form might have worsened.Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.73 ↑ (2.39) |
3.18 ↓ (3.41) |
2 ↓ (2.67) |
8.3% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyzylzhar won against Ordabasy?
Kyzylzhar has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Kyzylzhar?
Ordabasy has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy were as follows:
28.08.2025
Ordabasy
-
Kyzylzhar
1:0
05.07.2025
Kyzylzhar
-
Ordabasy
0:0
25.06.2025
Kyzylzhar
-
Ordabasy
0:0
30.03.2025
Ordabasy
-
Kyzylzhar
0:0
03.10.2024
Kyzylzhar
-
Ordabasy
0:1
Latest results of Kyzylzhar
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League