Kyzylzhar vs Ordabasy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
212
Shots on target
17
Corner kicks
27
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
01
Total shots
212
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
00
Blocked shots
15
Corner kicks
27
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1518
Fouls
1817

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Astanov S. 🟨,
  • 30', Galabov P. 🟨,
  • 34', Gomis H. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Slambekov D. (Own goal),
  • 36', Antic N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Leo Natel , Everton ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Beugre E. ,
  • 64', Muldinov T. , Adil A. ,
  • 71', Amir Z. , Naumets V. ,
  • 75', Beugre E. , Baoken S. ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Astanov E. ,
  • 80', Abagna D. , Toktybay M. ,
  • 81', Astanov E. , Mitkov D. ,
  • 81', Gomis H. , Cheredinov A. ,
  • 81', Slambekov D. , Pertsukh Y. ,
  • 87', Antic N. , Khalmatov M. ,
  • 89', Mitkov D. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90', Mitkov D. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Adil A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kyzylzhar
24.8%
Draw
29%
Ordabasy
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzylzhar's form might have worsened.
  • Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ordabasy's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ordabasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (2.39)
    3.18
    (3.41)
    2
    (2.67)
    8.3%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy were as follows:
    28.08.2025 Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar 1:0
    05.07.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    25.06.2025 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:0
    30.03.2025 Ordabasy - Kyzylzhar 0:0
    03.10.2024 Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy 0:1
    Latest results of Kyzylzhar
    19.04.2026 Atyrau - Kyzylzhar 0:1
    12.04.2026 Kyzylzhar - Zhenis 4:0
    09.04.2026 Khan Tengri - Kyzylzhar 0:1
    04.04.2026 Kaisar - Kyzylzhar 0:0
    20.03.2026 Kyzylzhar - Ertis Pavlodar 2:2
    Latest results of Ordabasy
    18.04.2026 Ordabasy - Okzhetpes 2:1
    11.04.2026 Astana - Ordabasy 1:1
    04.04.2026 Ordabasy - Atyrau 1:1
    20.03.2026 Ordabasy - Kaisar 2:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty853012:3918
    2Ordabasy743012:6615
    3Okzhetpes843112:8415
    4Yelimay Semey734012:7513
    5FC Astana733111:9212
    6Zhetysu Taldykorgan83329:9012
    7Kyzylzhar832310:7311
    8Ulytau73227:7011
    9Aktobe73138:8010
    10Atyrau71425:507
    11Zhenis71423:8-57
    12Ertis Pavlodar81348:11-36
    13Kaisar Kyzylorda80624:8-46
    14Tobol71247:13-65
    15Altai70433:6-34
    16Kaspij Aktau70163:11-81

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League