La Virgen del Camino vs Santa Marta Tormes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/11/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Chopi ,
  • 31', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 83', 🟥,

Chances of winning


La Virgen del Camino
17.7%
Draw
34.1%
Santa Marta Tormes
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 29% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 30.1% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Virgen del Camino's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Marta Tormes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Virgen del Camino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.84
    (2.38)
    3.54
    (3.1)
    2.5
    (2.7)
    -17.2%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 3.
    • La Virgen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santa Marta Tormes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, La Virgen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, La Virgen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino 1:3
    23.10.2024 La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes 0:1
    28.03.2024 La Virgen del Camino - Santa Marta Tormes 1:0
    11.11.2023 Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino 4:4
    07.04.2023 Santa Marta Tormes - La Virgen del Camino 0:2
    Latest results of Santa Marta Tormes
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tordesillas24166243:133054
    2Guijuelo24156334:171751
    3Palencia CF24154541:231849
    4Santa Marta Tormes24144634:171746
    5Palencia CA24134731:171443
    6Mirandes B24115830:181238
    7Mansilles22106618:20-236
    8La Virgen22105720:18235
    9Almazan23711532:27532
    10Colegios Diocesanos23761023:28-527
    11Leonesa B24751224:30-626
    12Arandina24671119:31-1225
    13Villaralbo23661114:24-1024
    14Bembibre23651221:30-923
    15Numancia B23541415:32-1719
    16CD Mojados23471218:39-2119
    17Becerril24441627:47-2016
    18Unionistas B221111017:30-1314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation