Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 30
Chances of winning
Aretxabaleta
34.3% | Draw
29.9% | Lagun Onak
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aretxabaleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.89) |
3.04 ↑
(3.03) |
2.53 ↑
(2.33) |
10.2%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Aretxabaleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lagun Onak is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Aretxabaleta won against Lagun Onak?
Aretxabaleta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagun Onak won against Aretxabaleta?
Lagun Onak has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aretxabaleta - Lagun Onak were as follows:
06.12.2025
Lagun Onak
-
Aretxabaleta
2:0
30.03.2025
Lagun Onak
-
Aretxabaleta
0:2
Latest results of Aretxabaleta
Latest results of Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 62:23 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Touring KE | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 42:27 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Leioa | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 48:28 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | San Ignacio | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 33:23 | 10 | 49 |
| 6 | Derio | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51:34 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 47 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad C | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48:50 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Anorga | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 13 | Zamudio | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 23:40 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 26:56 | -30 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
