Result
0:1
07/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Derio
30.5% | Draw
32.7% | Lagun Onak
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Derio - Lagun Onak Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.3) |
2.79 ↓
(3.35) |
2.48 ↓
(2.74) |
9.7%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
- Derio has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lagun Onak is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Lagun Onak?
Derio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagun Onak won against Derio?
Lagun Onak has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derio - Lagun Onak were as follows:
18.01.2025
Derio
-
Lagun Onak
2:0
14.04.2024
Derio
-
Lagun Onak
2:3
25.11.2023
Lagun Onak
-
Derio
2:0
Latest results of Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
