Result
4:5
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Undonque A. ⚽,
- 5', 2 - 0, Omuro Y. ⚽,
- 27', 3 - 0, Undonque A. ⚽,
- 37', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 47', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 61', 3 - 3, ⚽,
- 64', 4 - 3, Souza P. ⚽,
- 79', 4 - 4, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 5, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marinhense
53.2% | Draw
28.1% | Lajense
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marinhense's performance.Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lajense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marinhense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lajense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marinhense - Lajense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.17) |
3.85 ↑
(3.05) |
5.77 ↑
(3.18) |
-7.5%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation)
- Recent form of Marinhense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lajense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lajense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marinhense could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marinhense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Lajense?
Marinhense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lajense won against Marinhense?
Lajense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Lajense were as follows:
13.12.2025
Lajense
-
Marinhense
2:1
Latest results of Marinhense
Latest results of Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
