Lajense vs Marinhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
06
Red Cards
10
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 76', 2 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Lajense
43.6%
Draw
29.4%
Marinhense
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 28% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 27.1% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lajense's form might have worsened.
  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lajense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lajense - Marinhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.76)
    3.07
    (3.23)
    3.32
    (4.39)
    11.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation)
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Lajense is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lajense
    07.12.2025 Lajense - Naval 0:1
    29.11.2025 SC Lusitânia - Lajense 1:2
    08.11.2025 Lajense - Mortágua 1:1
    02.11.2025 União da Serra - Lajense 1:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

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