Marinhense vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
52
Total shots
175
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
102
Corner kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 0 - 1, ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Marinhense
63.2%
Draw
23.8%
SC Lusitânia
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 24.8% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 23.8% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Marinhense - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.49)
    3.81
    (3.7)
    6.94
    (6.75)
    10.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • SC Lusitânia is Relegated to
    • Marinhense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marinhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Marinhense has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Marinhense is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    06.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Marinhense 0:0
    09.03.2024 SC Lusitânia - Marinhense 2:0
    12.11.2023 Marinhense - SC Lusitânia 2:0
    Latest results of Marinhense
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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