Marinhense vs Lajense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
12/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
811
Corner kicks
66
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
811
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Undonque A. ,
  • 5', 2 - 0, Omuro Y. ,
  • 27', 3 - 0, Undonque A. ,
  • 37', 3 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 47', 3 - 2, ,
  • 61', 3 - 3, ,
  • 64', 4 - 3, Souza P. ,
  • 79', 4 - 4, ,
  • 87', 4 - 5, ,

Chances of winning


Marinhense
53.2%
Draw
28.1%
Lajense
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 29.7% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 31.7% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marinhense's performance.
  • Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lajense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marinhense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lajense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marinhense - Lajense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.17)
    3.85
    (3.05)
    5.77
    (3.18)
    -7.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation)
    • Recent form of Marinhense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lajense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lajense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marinhense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marinhense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Lajense were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Lajense - Marinhense 2:1
    Latest results of Marinhense
    Latest results of Lajense
    04.04.2026 Naval - Lajense 0:1
    22.03.2026 Lajense - SC Lusitânia 3:1
    15.03.2026 Mortágua - Lajense 1:1
    08.03.2026 Lajense - União da Serra 0:1
    01.03.2026 Fatima - Lajense 1:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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