Result
1:0 penalties
22/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (397/504) | 81% (432/534) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (397/504) | 81% (432/534) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (27/70) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (97/149) | 70% (112/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 33% (7/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 71', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 78', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 80', Hulk 🟨,
- 82', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 85', Franco A. 🟨,
- 87', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
- 87', Franco A. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 94', Salvio E. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
- 94', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 94', Dudu ↓, Biel ↑,
- 103', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 103', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 106', Rony ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
- 119', Medina A. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Bou W. (Pen),
- 1, Hulk (Pen),
- 2, Izquierdoz C. (Pen),
- 2, Gustavo Scarpa (Pen),
- 3, Marcich S. (Pen),
- 3, Igor Gomes (Pen),
- 4, Aquino D. (Pen),
- 4, Biel (Pen),
- 5, Acosta L. (Pen),
- 5, Everson (Pen),
- 6, Cardozo A. (Pen),
- 6, Alexsander (Pen),
- 7, Watson F. N. (Pen),
- 7, Vitor Hugo (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lanús
30.1% | Draw
31.9% | Atlético Mineiro
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Lanús - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(3.11) |
2.97 ↓
(3.06) |
2.46 ↑
(2.44) |
6.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Atlético MG (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Atlético Mineiro?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Lanús?
Atlético Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
