Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 81% (318/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (284/355) | 81% (318/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (31/60) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (72/118) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Lamendola N. 🟨,
- 8', Lopez K. 🟨,
- 21', Cardozo L. 🟨,
- 23', Diaz L. (Pen),
- 34', Brizuela M. 🟨,
- 45', Ferrari G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Brizuela M. ↓, Orihuela M. ↑,
- 46', Lamendola N. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
- 56', Bajamich M. ↓, Coronel M. ↑,
- 61', Lopez K. ↓, Acosta G. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
- 76', Aquino D. ↓, Salvio E. ↑,
- 76', Canelo A. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 77', Ontivero O. ↓, Marcich S. ↑,
- 77', Auzqui C. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
- 81', Ramirez J. ↓, Marcelino Moreno ↑,
- 88', Acosta G. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Franco N. ⚽, Acosta G. (A),
- 90+7', Orihuela M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Tucumán
37.1% | Draw
31.6% | Lanús
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Tucumán's form might have worsened.Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanús's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+21.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanús, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Tucumán - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(1.65) |
3.01 ↓
(3.45) |
3.04 ↓
(5.58) |
5.2%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Lanús (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.
- Atlético Tucumán has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lanús is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Tucumán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético Tucumán might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Infante J.
(Knee Injury)
Tesuri R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Cardozo A.
(Yellow Cards)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Perez G.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lanús: Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Lanús?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Atlético Tucumán?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tucumán - Lanús were as follows:
27.10.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
Lanús
1:0
04.06.2023
Lanús
-
Atlético Tucumán
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
