Result
1:0 penalties
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
80% (368/460) | 80% (313/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.14 | 1.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.56 | 0.68 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (368/460) | 80% (313/392) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (20/51) | 58% (23/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (106/156) | 71% (77/109) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (8/26) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.45 | 0.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (21/28) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.68 | 0.56 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.68 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Medina A. 🟨,
- 42', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Delgado M. 🟨,
- 59', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 62', Rojo M. 🟨,
- 62', De Jesus R. 🟨,
- 72', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 74', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 87', Medina A. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 87', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 87', Belmonte T. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
- 2, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
- 2, Zeballos E. (Pen),
- 3, Aquino D. (Pen),
- 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
- 4, Carrera R. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors 49% | Draw 30.9% | Lanús 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Boca Juniors - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.74) |
3.06 ↓ (3.6) |
4.71 ↑ (4.49) |
5.3% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
- Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H.
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
Rey Domenech C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Injury)
Perez G.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Lanús?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Boca Juniors?
Lanús has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Lanús were as follows:
03.11.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
18.02.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
23.09.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
10.06.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
14.09.2022
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
0:1
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)