Lanús vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Chances of winning


Lanús
35.3%
Draw
32%
Boca Juniors
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 32.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 31.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Lanús - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.95)
    2.92
    (2.88)
    2.87
    (2.53)
    6.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0
    03.11.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 1:0
    18.02.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 2:1
    23.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    10.06.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    Latest results of Lanús
    26.02.2026 Flamengo - Lanús 2:3
    22.02.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Lanús Postponed
    19.02.2026 Lanús - Flamengo 1:0
    13.02.2026 Independiente - Lanús 2:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

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