Result
0:3
04/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (389/471) | 83% (432/521) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (389/471) | 83% (432/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/120) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.54 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Ascacibar S. ⚽,
- 17', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
- 17', Canale Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 2, Miguel Merentiel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Watson F. N. ↓, De Martis T. ↑,
- 46', Carrera R. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 61', Salvio E. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 3, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 66', Aquino D. 🟨,
- 72', Bou W. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 72', Paredes L. 🟨,
- 79', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 80', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 82', Medina A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 87', Paredes L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
- 87', Bareiro A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
31.9% | Draw
33% | Boca Juniors
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Lanús - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95
(2.95) |
2.83 ↓
(2.88) |
2.71 ↑
(2.53) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Boca Juniors (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelino Moreno
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Angel Romero
(Injury)
Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Groin Injury)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeballos E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Lanús: Sanchez F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Boca Juniors?
Lanús has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Lanús?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Boca Juniors were as follows:
10.05.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:0
03.11.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
18.02.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
23.09.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
10.06.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
