Boca Juniors vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Lanús
Result
1:0 penalties
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.06
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
80% (368/460)80% (313/392)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.68
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
711
Passes
80% (368/460)80% (313/392)
Long passes
39% (20/51)58% (23/40)
Passes in final third
68% (106/156)71% (77/109)
Crosses
31% (8/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.58
Throw-ins
2822
Fouls
117
Tackles
75% (21/28)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4649
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.680.56
Goals prevented
0.680.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 42', Mendez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 59', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
  • 62', Rojo M. 🟨,
  • 62', De Jesus R. 🟨,
  • 72', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
  • 74', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
  • 87', Medina A. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
  • 87', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
  • 87', Belmonte T. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
  • 2, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
  • 2, Zeballos E. (Pen),
  • 3, Aquino D. (Pen),
  • 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
  • 4, Carrera R. (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
49%		Draw
30.9%		Lanús
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 25.8% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.4% 20.4%

Boca Juniors - Lanús Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.95 ↑
(1.74)		 3.06 ↓
(3.6)		 4.71 ↑
(4.49)		 5.3%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez M. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L. (Knee Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Injury) Perez G. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Lanús were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 1:0
    18.02.2024 Lanús - Boca Juniors 2:1
    23.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    10.06.2023 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:1
    14.09.2022 Lanús - Boca Juniors 0:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Barracas Central 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lanús
    06.05.2025 FBC Melgar - Lanús 0:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Lanús 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Vasco da Gama - Lanús 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Lanús - Banfield 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1575326:121426
    2Union de Santa Fe ✔ 1566320:13724
    3Central Cordoba1558216:10623
    4Tigre1557314:11322
    5Barracas Central1557318:16222
    6Racing Club1564515:13222
    7Argentinos Jrs1563616:12421
    8Estudiantes L.P1563616:16021
    9Banfield1562714:20-620
    10Belgrano1547413:11219
    11Defensa y Justicia1554614:17-319
    12Huracan155469:14-519
    13Aldosivi1653813:18-518
    14Newells Old Boys1535713:22-914
    15Ind. Rivadavia1527612:17-513


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central ✔ 1687118:81031
    2Lanus ✔ 1693420:13730
    3Dep. Riestra ✔ 1684419:12728
    4Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1574419:12725
    5San Lorenzo ✔ 1666413:11224
    6River Plate1563620:15521
    7Talleres Cordoba155559:12-320
    8Sarmiento Junin1655613:17-420
    9San Martin S.J1647513:16-319
    10Gimnasia L.P1561811:16-519
    11Independiente1646614:13118
    12Atl. Tucuman1653817:22-518
    13Instituto153669:17-815
    14Godoy Cruz1619611:19-812
    15Platense1526712:22-1012

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Union de Santa Fe is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dep. Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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