Result
1:0 penalties
10/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (368/460) | 80% (313/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (368/460) | 80% (313/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 58% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (106/156) | 71% (77/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (21/28) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Medina A. 🟨,
- 42', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Delgado M. 🟨,
- 59', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 62', Rojo M. 🟨,
- 62', De Jesus R. 🟨,
- 72', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 74', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 87', Medina A. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 87', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 87', Belmonte T. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 87', Blanco L. ↓, Saracchi M. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, Rojo M. (Pen),
- 2, Marcelino Moreno (Pen),
- 2, Zeballos E. (Pen),
- 3, Aquino D. (Pen),
- 3, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Pen),
- 4, Carrera R. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
49% | Draw
30.9% | Lanús
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Boca Juniors - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.74) |
3.06 ↓
(3.6) |
4.71 ↑
(4.49) |
5.3%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
- Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lanús's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H.
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Muscle Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
Rey Domenech C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Injury)
Perez G.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Lanús?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Boca Juniors?
Lanús has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Lanús were as follows:
03.11.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
1:0
18.02.2024
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
2:1
23.09.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
10.06.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Lanús
1:1
14.09.2022
Lanús
-
Boca Juniors
0:1
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
