San Martín de San Juan vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.69
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
89
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Long passes
53% (39/73)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
63% (78/124)70% (73/104)
Crosses
19% (7/37)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.76
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
98
Tackles
86% (12/14)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1638
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.690.57
Goals prevented
0.69-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Marcich S. (A),
  • 36', Jaurena S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aquino D. , Segovia A. ,
  • 58', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez S. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 67', Jaurena S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 67', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 67', Watson F. N. , Medina A. ,
  • 77', Tijanovich H. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 79', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 79', Carrera R. , Salvio E. ,
  • 86', Barrera S. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lecanda T. ,
  • 90+6', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
33%
Draw
33.7%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 31.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 34.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • San Martín de San Juan - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.77)
    2.81
    (2.96)
    2.83
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Lanús (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): San Martín de San Juan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 3 - 60%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury) Sanchez F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Lanús were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    03.11.2025 Banfield - Lanús 2:1
    17.10.2025 Lanús - Godoy Cruz 2:0
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)