San Martín de San Juan vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.69
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
89
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Long passes
53% (39/73)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
63% (78/124)70% (73/104)
Crosses
19% (7/37)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.76
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
98
Tackles
86% (12/14)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1638
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.690.57
Goals prevented
0.69-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Marcich S. (A),
  • 36', Jaurena S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aquino D. , Segovia A. ,
  • 58', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez S. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 67', Jaurena S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 67', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 67', Watson F. N. , Medina A. ,
  • 77', Tijanovich H. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 79', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 79', Carrera R. , Salvio E. ,
  • 86', Barrera S. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lecanda T. ,
  • 90+6', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
33%
Draw
33.7%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 31.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 34.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • San Martín de San Juan - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.77)
    2.81
    (2.96)
    2.83
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Lanús (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Martín de San Juan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 3 - 60%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury) Sanchez F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Lanús were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    03.11.2025 Banfield - Lanús 2:1
    17.10.2025 Lanús - Godoy Cruz 2:0
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)