Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | TNT Sports |
China | K-Ball |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
79% (308/388) | 79% (293/372) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.04 | 0.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.42 | 0.06 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
79% (308/388) | 79% (293/372) |
Long passes |
---|
26% (11/43) | 39% (22/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (61/87) | 62% (76/122) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (6/15) | 21% (5/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.06 | 0.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Molina A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera B. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 55', Carrera R. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Marcelino Moreno ⚽,
- 68', Molina A. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
- 72', Toloza F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 73', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 78', Jaurena S. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
- 78', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 79', Lecanda T. 🟨,
- 85', Gonzalez D. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
- 88', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 90+2', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cardozo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús 58.1% | Draw 27.7% | San Martín de San Juan 14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lanús - San Martín de San Juan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 (1.63) |
3.43 ↓ (3.47) |
6.53 ↑ (6.31) |
5.7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - San Martín de San Juan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lanús is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Bou W.
(Ankle Injury)
Canelo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in San Martín: Anselmo F.
(Inactive)
Casa M.
(Injury)
Montagna E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lanús: Perez G.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against San Martín de San Juan?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de San Juan won against Lanús?
San Martín de San Juan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)