San Martín de San Juan vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.161.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.69
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
89
Passes
76% (241/318)82% (354/433)
Long passes
53% (39/73)52% (32/62)
Passes in final third
63% (78/124)70% (73/104)
Crosses
19% (7/37)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.76
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
98
Tackles
86% (12/14)56% (5/9)
Duels won
3540
Clearances
1638
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.690.57
Goals prevented
0.69-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Castillo R. , Marcich S. (A),
  • 36', Jaurena S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Aquino D. , Segovia A. ,
  • 58', Maestro I. , Barrera S. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez S. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 67', Jaurena S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 67', Fernandez T. , Salle S. ,
  • 67', Watson F. N. , Medina A. ,
  • 77', Tijanovich H. , Anselmo F. ,
  • 79', Castillo R. , Canelo A. ,
  • 79', Carrera R. , Salvio E. ,
  • 86', Barrera S. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Lecanda T. ,
  • 90+6', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Martín de San Juan
33%
Draw
33.7%
Lanús
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 31.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 34.5% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • San Martín de San Juan - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.77)
    2.81
    (2.96)
    2.83
    (2.77)
    6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for San Martín de San Juan - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Lanús (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Martín de San Juan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. San Martín (votes: 3 - 60%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lanús is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 0.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in San Martín: Pelaitay N. (Injury) Toloza F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury) Sanchez F. (Inactive) Segovia A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, San Martín won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Martín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Martín de San Juan - Lanús were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Lanús - San Martín de San Juan 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    03.11.2025 Banfield - Lanús 2:1
    17.10.2025 Lanús - Godoy Cruz 2:0
    12.10.2025 Independiente - Lanús 0:2
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)