Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/388) | 79% (293/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/388) | 79% (293/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (11/43) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (61/87) | 62% (76/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Molina A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera B. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 55', Carrera R. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Marcelino Moreno ⚽,
- 68', Molina A. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
- 72', Toloza F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 73', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
- 78', Jaurena S. ↓, Menendez J. ↑,
- 78', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 79', Lecanda T. 🟨,
- 85', Gonzalez D. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
- 88', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 90+2', Iacobellis M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cardozo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lanús
58.1% | Draw
27.7% | San Martín de San Juan
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lanús - San Martín de San Juan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63
(1.63) |
3.43 ↓
(3.47) |
6.53 ↑
(6.31) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lanús - San Martín de San Juan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lanús won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lanús is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Lanús: Acosta L.
(Knee Injury)
Aguilar B.
(Knee Injury)
Bou W.
(Ankle Injury)
Canelo A.
(Muscle Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Morgantini N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in San Martín: Anselmo F.
(Inactive)
Casa M.
(Injury)
Montagna E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lanús: Perez G.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lanús won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against San Martín de San Juan?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Martín de San Juan won against Lanús?
San Martín de San Juan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - San Martín de San Juan were as follows:
Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
| 2 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
