Lanús vs Tigre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
chinaChinaK-Ball
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.24
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
83% (437/528)65% (158/244)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.780.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.150.36
Total shots
188
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
83% (437/528)65% (158/244)
Long passes
56% (34/61)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)41% (26/64)
Crosses
37% (7/19)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.17
Throw-ins
2519
Fouls
1312
Tackles
50% (6/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5149
Clearances
938
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.360.15
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Carrera R. 🟨,
  • 41', Pineiro G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Romero D. ,
  • 60', Perez G. , Mendez A. ,
  • 60', Watson F. N. , Aquino D. ,
  • 62', Cabrera E. , Saralegui J. ,
  • 62', Pineiro G. , Leyes B. ,
  • 73', Soto G. , Barrionuevo A. ,
  • 78', Carrera R. , Bou W. ,
  • 83', Medina S. , Rivero S. G. ,
  • 83', Romero D. , Elias J. ,
  • 84', Salvio E. , Segovia A. ,
  • 88', Pellegrino M. 🟥,
  • 90+8', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lanús
46.8%
Draw
32%
Tigre
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 32% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 31.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Lanús - Tigre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.06)
    2.98
    (2.85)
    4.44
    (3.88)
    5.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Lanús - Tigre?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Tigre (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Tigre (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Tigre (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 3.
    • Lanús is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tigre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lanús is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision) Saralegui J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Tigre were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Lanús - Tigre 3:2
    11.03.2024 Tigre - Lanús 2:3
    26.10.2023 Lanús - Tigre 2:1
    01.04.2023 Tigre - Lanús 2:1
    03.09.2022 Lanús - Tigre 1:2
    Latest results of Lanús
    Latest results of Tigre
    16.11.2025 Boca Juniors - Tigre 2:0
    03.11.2025 Belgrano - Tigre 0:0
    20.10.2025 Tigre - Barracas Central 2:2
    10.10.2025 Newells Old Boys - Tigre 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1684420:16428
    5Belgrano ✔ 1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)