Changchun Xidu vs Lanzhou Longyuan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan
Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.85
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
70% (279/399)57% (131/230)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.92
Total shots
226
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
70% (279/399)57% (131/230)
Long passes
40% (35/88)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
46% (61/134)44% (39/88)
Crosses
40% (10/25)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.08
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1620
Tackles
83% (10/12)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5451
Clearances
866
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.920.99
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Muhtar Ular , Abdukerim O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Abdukerim O. 🟨,
  • 60', Murat Bebet , Huang Wenzhuo ,
  • 60', Sun Fei , Xu Zhaoji ,
  • 62', Lin Taijun , Mei Jingxuan ,
  • 72', Kadir Aysan , Erkin Ababekri ,
  • 72', He Youzu , Zhao Ran ,
  • 79', Wang Zihao 🟨,
  • 79', Chen Zitong 🟨,
  • 81', Lu Hongda , Memet Nuryasin ,
  • 81', Li Xin , Nurlan Nurzat ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Memet Nuryasin , Wang Shengbo (A),
  • 88', Chen Kerui 🟨,
  • 90', Abdukerim O. , Zhou Yan ,
  • 90+1', Yang Shengming 🟨,
  • 90+3', Chen Zitong , Xie Hongyu ,

Chances of winning


Changchun Xidu
48.5%
Draw
28.4%
Lanzhou Longyuan
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 27.1% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.6% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.
  • Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.66)
    3.23
    (3.35)
    3.97
    (5)
    9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Changchun Xidu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lanzhou Longyuan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Changchun Xidu is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Changchun Xidu 0:1
    Latest results of Changchun Xidu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen24203152:124063
    2Wuxi Wugou24156335:142151
    3Shenzhen24147330:151549
    4Chengdu Rongcheng B24135642:222044
    5Guizhou Zhucheng24133835:28742
    6Shandong Taishan B241010437:241340
    7Changchun Xidu24109520:13739
    8Nantong Haimen24108642:301238

          Promotion ~ Jia League