Changchun Xidu vs Lanzhou Longyuan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Yi League Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan
Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.85
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
70% (279/399)57% (131/230)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.990.92
Total shots
226
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2612
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2016
Passes
70% (279/399)57% (131/230)
Long passes
40% (35/88)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
46% (61/134)44% (39/88)
Crosses
40% (10/25)40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.08
Throw-ins
2420
Fouls
1620
Tackles
83% (10/12)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5451
Clearances
866
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.920.99
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Muhtar Ular , Abdukerim O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Abdukerim O. 🟨,
  • 60', Murat Bebet , Huang Wenzhuo ,
  • 60', Sun Fei , Xu Zhaoji ,
  • 62', Lin Taijun , Mei Jingxuan ,
  • 72', Kadir Aysan , Erkin Ababekri ,
  • 72', He Youzu , Zhao Ran ,
  • 79', Wang Zihao 🟨,
  • 79', Chen Zitong 🟨,
  • 81', Lu Hongda , Memet Nuryasin ,
  • 81', Li Xin , Nurlan Nurzat ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Memet Nuryasin , Wang Shengbo (A),
  • 88', Chen Kerui 🟨,
  • 90', Abdukerim O. , Zhou Yan ,
  • 90+1', Yang Shengming 🟨,
  • 90+3', Chen Zitong , Xie Hongyu ,

Chances of winning


Changchun Xidu
48.5%
Draw
28.4%
Lanzhou Longyuan
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 27.1% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 26.6% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.
  • Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.66)
    3.23
    (3.35)
    3.97
    (5)
    9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    • Changchun Xidu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lanzhou Longyuan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Changchun Xidu is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Changchun Xidu 0:1
    Latest results of Changchun Xidu
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2025

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wuxi Wugou ✔ 21126327:121542
    2Nantong Haimen21108338:231538
    3Changchun Xidu21107419:11837
    4Shandong Taishan B2199333:211236
    5Jiangxi Lushan21105624:19535
    6Hangzhou Linping2187624:26-231
    7Shanghai Port B ✔ 2167823:22125
    8Taian Tiankuang ✔ 21651020:25-523
    9Lanzhou Longyuan ✔ 2157921:30-922
    10Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ✔ 2148916:32-1620
    11Hubei Istar ✔ 21371123:37-1416
    12Beijing Technology ✔ 21421519:29-1014


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guangxi Hengchen ✔ 21173144:93554
    2Shenzhen ✔ 21136226:121445
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B21124538:162240
    4Guizhou Zhucheng21113731:25636
    5Guangzhou Dandelion21105630:181235
    6Wuhan Three Towns B ✔ 2185821:18329
    7Wenzhou Professional ✔ 2158818:25-723
    8Ganzhou Ruishi ✔ 21411618:27-923
    9Kunming City Star ✔ 21471015:28-1319
    10Guangdong Mingtu ✔ 21381018:31-1317
    11Quanzhou Yassin ✔ 21361211:27-1615
    12Guangxi Lanhang ✔ 2106159:43-346

          Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
          Yi League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Wuxi Wugou is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shanghai Port B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Taian Tiankuang is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Shanxi Chongde Ronghai is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Hubei Istar is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Beijing Technology is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Shenzhen is Qualified for Yi League (Promotion Group )
    Wuhan Three Towns B is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Wenzhou Professional is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Ganzhou Ruishi is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Kunming City Star is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangdong Mingtu is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Quanzhou Yassin is Yi League (Relegation Group )
    Guangxi Lanhang is Yi League (Relegation Group )