Changchun Xidu vs Lanzhou Longyuan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/07/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yatai Training Base Stadium (Changchun).

Yi League - Round 18

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.85
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	2
Passes
70% (279/399)	57% (131/230)
Yellow Cards
1	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	0.92
Total shots
22	6
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
12	2
Blocked Shots
8	1
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
12	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
26	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
20	16
Passes
70% (279/399)	57% (131/230)
Long passes
40% (35/88)	29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
46% (61/134)	44% (39/88)
Crosses
40% (10/25)	40% (4/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.23	1.08
Throw-ins
24	20
Fouls
16	20
Tackles
83% (10/12)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
54	51
Clearances
8	66
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.92	0.99
Goals prevented
-0.08	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Muhtar Ular ⚽, Abdukerim O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Abdukerim O. 🟨,
60', Murat Bebet ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
60', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
62', Lin Taijun ↓, Mei Jingxuan ↑,
72', Kadir Aysan ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,
72', He Youzu ↓, Zhao Ran ↑,
79', Wang Zihao 🟨,
79', Chen Zitong 🟨,
81', Lu Hongda ↓, Memet Nuryasin ↑,
81', Li Xin ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Memet Nuryasin ⚽, Wang Shengbo (A),
88', Chen Kerui 🟨,
90', Abdukerim O. ↓, Zhou Yan ↑,
90+1', Yang Shengming 🟨,
90+3', Chen Zitong ↓, Xie Hongyu ↑,

Chances of winning

Changchun Xidu
48.5%

Draw
28.4%

Lanzhou Longyuan
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Changchun Xidu's form might have worsened.

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Changchun Xidu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.66)	3.23 ↓ (3.35)	3.97 ↓ (5)	9% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Changchun Xidu (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).
Lanzhou Longyuan is Yi League (Relegation Group )
Changchun Xidu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lanzhou Longyuan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Changchun Xidu is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Lanzhou Longyuan?

Changchun Xidu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lanzhou Longyuan won against Changchun Xidu?

Lanzhou Longyuan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Lanzhou Longyuan were as follows:

02.05.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Changchun Xidu 0:1

Latest results of Changchun Xidu

02.07.2025 Shandong Taishan B - Changchun Xidu 4:1 ✺

24.06.2025 Changchun Xidu - Hubei Istar 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Jiangxi Lushan - Changchun Xidu 0:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Changchun Xidu - Taian Tiankuang 1:0 ✺

07.06.2025 Changchun Xidu - Beijing Institute of Technology 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Lanzhou Longyuan

02.07.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Taian Tiankuang 1:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Hubei Istar - Lanzhou Longyuan 2:3 ✺

15.06.2025 Shandong Taishan B - Lanzhou Longyuan 2:2 ✺

08.06.2025 Lanzhou Longyuan - Nantong Haimen Codion 1:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Lanzhou Longyuan 1:3 ✺

Chinese Yi League Table

Main

North

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	17	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	14	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	14	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	8	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	3	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	-2	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	-3	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	-1	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	-15	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan	22	5	7	10	21:32	-11	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	-8	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	-16	16

South

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	38	57
2	Shenzhen	22	14	6	2	30:13	17	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	19	40
4	Guizhou Zhucheng	22	12	3	7	33:25	8	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	13	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	1	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	-6	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	-10	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	-12	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	-16	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	-35	6

Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )
Yi League (Relegation Group: )